git:20260907.7229770 to git:20260910.21531b4

52 added, 52 removed. Audit A to A.

# Elections Bulgaria — electionsbg.com

> Open-source platform for visualizing and analyzing every Bulgarian parliamentary election since 2005 — broken down by region (oblast), municipality (obshtina), settlement, and polling section — plus dashboards for the resulting parliament, the state budget, public procurement, MP business connections and declared assets, polling-agency accuracy, and an electoral-risk screening index. Source data comes from the Central Election Commission (ЦИК), Sofia's Сметна палата (campaign finance + assets), parliament.bg, Eurostat, World Bank WGI, the Bulgarian Court of Audit and АОП. Everything is reprocessed offline into static JSON served from a JAMstack SPA.

Site language: primary Bulgarian, with full English UI translation. Every page is prerendered into static HTML at build time, so non-JS crawlers see the real content. All data is public-domain; the site is open source.

## What this site contains

- Per-election results for all 13 parliamentary votes from 2005 onward, including the early-election cycles of 2021–2026.

- Geographic drill-down: 28 МИР (multi-member districts) → 265 municipalities → ~5,300 settlements → ~12,000 polling sections.

- Machine-vote vs. paper-vote breakdowns, recount metrics, invalid-ballot rates, and section-level anomaly detection.

- Per-party results across time (rise-and-fall timeline), declared campaign financing, and donor lists.

- Parliament dashboards: roll-call cohesion, MP business-connection graph (Commerce Registry crossed with declarations), declared assets/cars rankings.

- State budget execution (КФП + ministry "Отчет за изпълнението на програмния бюджет"), public procurement (АОП contracts, debarred-supplier register), regional indicators (Eurostat NUTS-3, unemployment, education).

- Composite electoral-risk index and interactive simulator for coalition formation and seat allocation.

## Key URLs

- - [Home](https://electionsbg.com/): overview, latest election headline, dashboard tiles.

- - [About](https://electionsbg.com/about): methodology, data sources, team.

- - [Articles](https://electionsbg.com/articles): long-form analytical pieces; each article also available as raw Markdown at `/articles/{slug}-bg.md` and `/articles/{slug}-en.md`.

- - [Parliamentary elections](https://electionsbg.com/parliamentary): every parliamentary vote from 2005 with national + regional drill-down.

- - [Elections](https://electionsbg.com/elections): the cross-kind entry to both electoral systems: parliamentary results by polling section, local elections for mayors and municipal councils, the partial elections between regular cycles, and a place finder.

- - [Parties](https://electionsbg.com/parties): full party list for the latest vote, votes / share / seats.

- - [Regions (28 MIR)](https://electionsbg.com/regions): results across the 28 multi-member districts.

- - [Sofia](https://electionsbg.com/sofia): Sofia-only view across MIR 23/24/25.

- - [Compare](https://electionsbg.com/compare): side-by-side comparison of any two parliamentary votes.

- - [Timeline](https://electionsbg.com/timeline): bubble-timeline of every party's share across all 13 votes.

- - [Simulator](https://electionsbg.com/simulator): coalition + seat-allocation what-if tool.

- - [Polls](https://electionsbg.com/polls): polling-agency accuracy tracker, per-vote miss profile.

- - [Governance](https://electionsbg.com/governance): country node of the Governance view — parliament roll-calls, MP declarations, state budget execution, public procurement, party financing and macro/governance context; also the top of a place ladder that drills country → region (/governance/region/{oblast}) → município or settlement (/governance/{id}) for the local governance picture (the place's MPs, mayor & council, Чл.53 transfers, EU funds, local taxes, census, transparency).

- - [National Assembly](https://electionsbg.com/parliament): module front page for roll-call voting: sittings archive, attendance, group cohesion, MP similarity and the voting map. Coverage is the 44th-52nd National Assembly; earlier parliaments published no roll-call records, and the 44th is partial (Oct 2020 - Mar 2021).

- - [Roll-call votes](https://electionsbg.com/votes): every plenary sitting with a roll-call vote, per item and per MP. Per-sitting pages are `/votes/{YYYY-MM-DD}` and individual items are `/votes/{YYYY-MM-DD}/{item-slug}`; each names its tally (for / against / abstained) and outcome.

- - [Parliament attendance](https://electionsbg.com/parliament/attendance): per-MP participation in roll-call votes, weighted by the items each MP could have voted on.

- - [Parliament voting correlation](https://electionsbg.com/parliament/correlation): how closely each pair of parliamentary groups votes together — cosine similarity between the two groups' majority votes across every item, with the diagonal (ties within a group) excluded from the ranking.

- - [MP voting similarity](https://electionsbg.com/parliament/similarity): pick an MP and see who votes closest to them and who most differently; per-member rankings are `/parliament/similarity/{mpId}`.

- - [Two groups head to head](https://electionsbg.com/votes/between): pick two parliamentary groups and see the items they voted opposite ways on; a chosen pair is `/votes/between/{groupA}--{groupB}`.

- - [Parliament cohesion](https://electionsbg.com/parliament/cohesion): intra- and cross-party roll-call cohesion.

- - [Parliament embedding](https://electionsbg.com/parliament/embedding): 2-D embedding of MPs from roll-call voting behavior.

- - [MP business connections](https://electionsbg.com/connections): graph of declared business ties between MPs and companies.

- - [MP assets](https://electionsbg.com/mp-assets): declared net-worth rankings (property, vehicles, holdings).

- - [MP cars](https://electionsbg.com/mp-cars): declared vehicles, ranked by value with typo guards.

- - [Officials declarations](https://electionsbg.com/officials): cabinet members, deputy ministers, agency heads, regional governors.

- - [State budget](https://electionsbg.com/budget): consolidated execution, ministry-by-ministry plan vs actual, COFOG breakdown, EU peer comparison.

- - [Public procurement](https://electionsbg.com/procurement): all АОП contracts since the dataset starts, debarred-supplier flags, MP-connection cross-reference.

- - [Procurement by settlement](https://electionsbg.com/procurement/by-settlement): per-settlement procurement totals — every contract pinned to the buyer's HQ address (municipalities, schools, hospitals, universities, regional offices, utilities) with central ministries / national state companies aggregated into a separate 'national procurement' rollup; ~388 settlements with €36 B in local-tier contracts.

- - [Party financing](https://electionsbg.com/financing): declared campaign income and expenditures from Сметна палата.

- - [The judiciary](https://electionsbg.com/judiciary): courts, prosecution offices and investigation services — budget, actual caseload per judge (ВСС), cost per case, and the magistrates declaring assets to the Judicial Inspectorate; per-body pages at `/court/{code}`, every body tabulated in `/llms-full.txt`.

- - [Pensions](https://electionsbg.com/pensions): the state pension system (НОИ) — average pension by oblast, size distribution, contributors per pensioner — alongside the private pillar-2/3 funds from the FSC quarterly register; per-fund pages at `/pension-fund/{slug}`, every fund tabulated in `/llms-full.txt`.

- - [Macro & governance indicators](https://electionsbg.com/indicators): KPI dashboard of Bulgaria's macro/fiscal/governance/social indicators since 2005, with EU27 rank, YoY arrows and cabinet-shaded sparklines; domain sub-pages at /indicators/economy, /indicators/fiscal, /indicators/governance, /indicators/society; multi-panel EU peer comparison dashboard at /indicators/compare (WGI radar, COFOG budget composition, SILC inequality, spend-vs-outcome scatters).

- - [Risk analysis](https://electionsbg.com/risk-analysis): composite electoral-risk index across 5 process signals + 4 context signals.

- - [Sitemap index](https://electionsbg.com/sitemap_index.xml): index of per-bucket sitemaps (~78,000 URLs total).

- - [Full corpus (BG)](https://electionsbg.com/llms-full.txt): national summary, per-party retrospect, polling analysis, and full article texts — Bulgarian.

- - [Full corpus (EN)](https://electionsbg.com/llms-full.en.txt): same content, English.

+ - [Home](https://naiasno.bg/): overview, latest election headline, dashboard tiles.

+ - [About](https://naiasno.bg/about): methodology, data sources, team.

+ - [Articles](https://naiasno.bg/articles): long-form analytical pieces; each article also available as raw Markdown at `/articles/{slug}-bg.md` and `/articles/{slug}-en.md`.

+ - [Parliamentary elections](https://naiasno.bg/parliamentary): every parliamentary vote from 2005 with national + regional drill-down.

+ - [Elections](https://naiasno.bg/elections): the cross-kind entry to both electoral systems: parliamentary results by polling section, local elections for mayors and municipal councils, the partial elections between regular cycles, and a place finder.

+ - [Parties](https://naiasno.bg/parties): full party list for the latest vote, votes / share / seats.

+ - [Regions (28 MIR)](https://naiasno.bg/regions): results across the 28 multi-member districts.

+ - [Sofia](https://naiasno.bg/sofia): Sofia-only view across MIR 23/24/25.

+ - [Compare](https://naiasno.bg/compare): side-by-side comparison of any two parliamentary votes.

+ - [Timeline](https://naiasno.bg/timeline): bubble-timeline of every party's share across all 13 votes.

+ - [Simulator](https://naiasno.bg/simulator): coalition + seat-allocation what-if tool.

+ - [Polls](https://naiasno.bg/polls): polling-agency accuracy tracker, per-vote miss profile.

+ - [Governance](https://naiasno.bg/governance): country node of the Governance view — parliament roll-calls, MP declarations, state budget execution, public procurement, party financing and macro/governance context; also the top of a place ladder that drills country → region (/governance/region/{oblast}) → município or settlement (/governance/{id}) for the local governance picture (the place's MPs, mayor & council, Чл.53 transfers, EU funds, local taxes, census, transparency).

+ - [National Assembly](https://naiasno.bg/parliament): module front page for roll-call voting: sittings archive, attendance, group cohesion, MP similarity and the voting map. Coverage is the 44th-52nd National Assembly; earlier parliaments published no roll-call records, and the 44th is partial (Oct 2020 - Mar 2021).

+ - [Roll-call votes](https://naiasno.bg/votes): every plenary sitting with a roll-call vote, per item and per MP. Per-sitting pages are `/votes/{YYYY-MM-DD}` and individual items are `/votes/{YYYY-MM-DD}/{item-slug}`; each names its tally (for / against / abstained) and outcome.

+ - [Parliament attendance](https://naiasno.bg/parliament/attendance): per-MP participation in roll-call votes, weighted by the items each MP could have voted on.

+ - [Parliament voting correlation](https://naiasno.bg/parliament/correlation): how closely each pair of parliamentary groups votes together — cosine similarity between the two groups' majority votes across every item, with the diagonal (ties within a group) excluded from the ranking.

+ - [MP voting similarity](https://naiasno.bg/parliament/similarity): pick an MP and see who votes closest to them and who most differently; per-member rankings are `/parliament/similarity/{mpId}`.

+ - [Two groups head to head](https://naiasno.bg/votes/between): pick two parliamentary groups and see the items they voted opposite ways on; a chosen pair is `/votes/between/{groupA}--{groupB}`.

+ - [Parliament cohesion](https://naiasno.bg/parliament/cohesion): intra- and cross-party roll-call cohesion.

+ - [Parliament embedding](https://naiasno.bg/parliament/embedding): 2-D embedding of MPs from roll-call voting behavior.

+ - [MP business connections](https://naiasno.bg/connections): graph of declared business ties between MPs and companies.

+ - [MP assets](https://naiasno.bg/mp-assets): declared net-worth rankings (property, vehicles, holdings).

+ - [MP cars](https://naiasno.bg/mp-cars): declared vehicles, ranked by value with typo guards.

+ - [Officials declarations](https://naiasno.bg/officials): cabinet members, deputy ministers, agency heads, regional governors.

+ - [State budget](https://naiasno.bg/budget): consolidated execution, ministry-by-ministry plan vs actual, COFOG breakdown, EU peer comparison.

+ - [Public procurement](https://naiasno.bg/procurement): all АОП contracts since the dataset starts, debarred-supplier flags, MP-connection cross-reference.

+ - [Procurement by settlement](https://naiasno.bg/procurement/by-settlement): per-settlement procurement totals — every contract pinned to the buyer's HQ address (municipalities, schools, hospitals, universities, regional offices, utilities) with central ministries / national state companies aggregated into a separate 'national procurement' rollup; ~388 settlements with €36 B in local-tier contracts.

+ - [Party financing](https://naiasno.bg/financing): declared campaign income and expenditures from Сметна палата.

+ - [The judiciary](https://naiasno.bg/judiciary): courts, prosecution offices and investigation services — budget, actual caseload per judge (ВСС), cost per case, and the magistrates declaring assets to the Judicial Inspectorate; per-body pages at `/court/{code}`, every body tabulated in `/llms-full.txt`.

+ - [Pensions](https://naiasno.bg/pensions): the state pension system (НОИ) — average pension by oblast, size distribution, contributors per pensioner — alongside the private pillar-2/3 funds from the FSC quarterly register; per-fund pages at `/pension-fund/{slug}`, every fund tabulated in `/llms-full.txt`.

+ - [Macro & governance indicators](https://naiasno.bg/indicators): KPI dashboard of Bulgaria's macro/fiscal/governance/social indicators since 2005, with EU27 rank, YoY arrows and cabinet-shaded sparklines; domain sub-pages at /indicators/economy, /indicators/fiscal, /indicators/governance, /indicators/society; multi-panel EU peer comparison dashboard at /indicators/compare (WGI radar, COFOG budget composition, SILC inequality, spend-vs-outcome scatters).

+ - [Risk analysis](https://naiasno.bg/risk-analysis): composite electoral-risk index across 5 process signals + 4 context signals.

+ - [Sitemap index](https://naiasno.bg/sitemap_index.xml): index of per-bucket sitemaps (~78,000 URLs total).

+ - [Full corpus (BG)](https://naiasno.bg/llms-full.txt): national summary, per-party retrospect, polling analysis, and full article texts — Bulgarian.

+ - [Full corpus (EN)](https://naiasno.bg/llms-full.en.txt): same content, English.

## Featured analyses

> All long-form analytical articles, most recent first. Each is published in Bulgarian and English with a raw-Markdown URL for direct ingestion.

- - [The money map: where the state buys and where the money goes](https://electionsbg.com/en/articles/2026-09-07-money-map) (English) / [Картата на парите: къде държавата купува и къде отиват средствата](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-09-07-money-map) (Bulgarian) — An interactive flight over public procurement, EU funds, farm subsidies, prices and elections. It shows not only the geography of €94 billion in contracts, but exactly how much can honestly be placed on the map. Markdown: [2026-09-07-money-map-en.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-09-07-money-map-en.md) · [2026-09-07-money-map-bg.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-09-07-money-map-bg.md).

- - [We are opening up the procurement risk flags](https://electionsbg.com/en/articles/2026-08-18-otvoreni-signali) (English) / [Отваряме сигналите за риск при обществените поръчки](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-08-18-otvoreni-signali) (Bulgarian) — Every rule by which we mark a contract as risky is now public — threshold, legal basis, when the check applies at all. Along with the three things we decided to write down rather than leave out: one check that currently does nothing on any contract; one whose direction is unsettled; and two grades using different weights without our being sure they should. 62.6% of contracts fire no flag at all. Markdown: [2026-08-18-otvoreni-signali-en.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-08-18-otvoreni-signali-en.md) · [2026-08-18-otvoreni-signali-bg.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-08-18-otvoreni-signali-bg.md).

- - [Why Bulgaria does not pay for outcomes](https://electionsbg.com/en/articles/2026-08-17-paying-for-outcomes) (English) / [Защо в България не се плаща за резултат](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-08-17-paying-for-outcomes) (Bulgarian) — In parts of the world the state buys a measured result rather than an activity. Bulgaria has no such instrument — and not because nobody thought of it. The procurement register has no field for a result at all; social services are funded as delegated state activities and rarely become a procurement contract (241 contracts and €70m against €15.1bn of social-protection spending); and among services, health and social work comes last on quality-weighted evaluation — 9.5% against 16.6% for the next domain and 52.2% for construction. Markdown: [2026-08-17-paying-for-outcomes-en.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-08-17-paying-for-outcomes-en.md) · [2026-08-17-paying-for-outcomes-bg.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-08-17-paying-for-outcomes-bg.md).

- - [Budget 2026: adopted in month seven — what the numbers show](https://electionsbg.com/en/articles/2026-07-25-budget-2026-adopted) (English) / [Бюджет 2026: приет на седмия месец — какво показват числата](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-07-25-budget-2026-adopted) (Bulgarian) — Parliament passed the 2026 budget on 24 July, 125 to 84, with five months left in the year. We test the contested claims against our own data: month-by-month cash execution, the text of every budget law since 2018, and the recorded votes. The 5.7% deficit is partly a choice — but about a third of what the official difference suggests, because the Fiscal Council never accepted that the earlier versions genuinely sat below 3%. And the calendar makes the ceiling hard to reach. Markdown: [2026-07-25-budget-2026-adopted-en.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-07-25-budget-2026-adopted-en.md) · [2026-07-25-budget-2026-adopted-bg.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-07-25-budget-2026-adopted-bg.md).

- - [Machine-only voting: who wins and who loses](https://electionsbg.com/en/articles/2026-07-21-machine-only-sections) (English) / [Гласуване само с машини: кой печели и кой губи](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-07-21-machine-only-sections) (Bulgarian) — An interactive what-if on Bulgaria's own election data. Since 2021 every section records machine and paper votes separately — the same electorate split only by voting medium, which makes the split a natural experiment. We remove the paper ballot in every 'large' section (above a chosen threshold), recast its paper-voters onto that section's machine distribution, and watch national vote share and parliamentary seats recompute live. Sliders control the threshold (100/200/300/500 voters) and a turnout drop-off; the pattern is consistent — ГЕРБ and ДПС lose, ПП-ДБ gains. Markdown: [2026-07-21-machine-only-sections-en.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-07-21-machine-only-sections-en.md) · [2026-07-21-machine-only-sections-bg.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-07-21-machine-only-sections-bg.md).

- - [Budget 2026 in focus: the record deficit, the critics, and a check against the numbers](https://electionsbg.com/en/articles/2026-06-25-budget-2026-fact-check) (English) / [Бюджет 2026 на фокус: рекордният дефицит, критиките и проверка с числата](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-06-25-budget-2026-fact-check) (Bulgarian) — The first regular budget of the Radev cabinet arrives with a 5.7%-of-GDP deficit and an excessive-deficit procedure just months after euro adoption. We line up the verified figures from the 2026 Budget Law and the 2026–2028 medium-term forecast, gather the reactions of politicians and economists (sourced line by line), and run the claims themselves through our budget simulator: the deficit, the €2,300 social-security cap and the party-subsidy cut all check out; 'you can't consolidate while debt explodes' is arithmetically false; and the 'soft' revenue and the 'Videnov-era' comparison do not survive scrutiny. Markdown: [2026-06-25-budget-2026-fact-check-en.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-06-25-budget-2026-fact-check-en.md) · [2026-06-25-budget-2026-fact-check-bg.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-06-25-budget-2026-fact-check-bg.md).

- - [Following the public money: a citizen's toolkit for procurement](https://electionsbg.com/en/articles/2026-06-20-following-public-money) (English) / [По следите на публичните пари: граждански инструменти за обществените поръчки](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-06-20-following-public-money) (Bulgarian) — The expanded public-procurement module — set against АОП/ЦАИС ЕОП, SIGMA and the international tools (opentender.eu, DOZORRO, OCDS). An explainable Corruption Risk Index, money-flow diagrams, a politician scanner, a per-oblast choropleth and a red-flag feed — with worked examples of what you can actually find (single bidding, concentration, MP- and official-connected firms). Markdown: [2026-06-20-following-public-money-en.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-06-20-following-public-money-en.md) · [2026-06-20-following-public-money-bg.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-06-20-following-public-money-bg.md).

- - [How the budget simulator works: data and model](https://electionsbg.com/en/articles/2026-06-12-tax-policy-simulator) (English) / [Как работи бюджетният симулатор: данни и модел](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-06-12-tax-policy-simulator) (Bulgarian) — How /budget/simulator works: where the data comes from and how the model is built. Static and dynamic mode, how every lever is scored (VAT, income tax, corporate, dividends, the social-security cap, excise, spending), the behavioral elasticities and fiscal multipliers behind dynamic mode, the limitations and the validation against official costings. Markdown: [2026-06-12-tax-policy-simulator-en.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-06-12-tax-policy-simulator-en.md) · [2026-06-12-tax-policy-simulator-bg.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-06-12-tax-policy-simulator-bg.md).

- - [The BNB reserve after the euro: can it be spent?](https://electionsbg.com/en/articles/2026-06-13-bnb-reserve-after-euro) (English) / [Резервът на БНБ след еврото: може ли да се похарчи](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-06-13-bnb-reserve-after-euro) (Bulgarian) — A recurring promise: with the euro, Bulgaria "frees up" 20–40 billion leva of reserves it can finally spend. We trace the claim to source — how big the BNB reserve actually is (≈€42bn), what happened to it on 1 January 2026 (a ≈€1.48bn transfer to the ECB in exchange for a non-redeemable claim — an accounting swap, not a release), and why EU law (Art 123 TFEU) and basic accounting mean neither the state nor anyone else gets cash to spend. Markdown: [2026-06-13-bnb-reserve-after-euro-en.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-06-13-bnb-reserve-after-euro-en.md) · [2026-06-13-bnb-reserve-after-euro-bg.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-06-13-bnb-reserve-after-euro-bg.md).

- - [Local councils and capital programmes — what we ingest and what's missing](https://electionsbg.com/en/articles/2026-06-02-local-councils-data) (English) / [Местни съвети и капиталови програми — какво извличаме и какво ни липсва](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-06-02-local-councils-data) (Bulgarian) — An audit of all 16 municipalities with council-votes data and 26 with capital-programme data on electionsbg.com. Data tables, gaps grouped by issue (publication policy, Cloudflare/TSPD bot guards, scanned PDFs, stale CMSes), and the eight oblast capitals where readers can ask their councils to publish what their bigger peers already do. Markdown: [2026-06-02-local-councils-data-en.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-06-02-local-councils-data-en.md) · [2026-06-02-local-councils-data-bg.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-06-02-local-councils-data-bg.md).

- - [Twenty years of Bulgarian cabinets — what the numbers actually show](https://electionsbg.com/en/articles/2026-05-24-cabinets-analysis) (English) / [Двадесет години правителства в България — какво показват числата](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-05-24-cabinets-analysis) (Bulgarian) — Analysis of all 18 cabinets since 2005 through their macro footprints — GDP, inflation, unemployment, debt and EU funds. What worked and what didn't for each mandate, who left the bill for the next, and why the last 4 years are a paradox: the most unstable politics on top of the strongest economy since EU accession. Markdown: [2026-05-24-cabinets-analysis-en.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-05-24-cabinets-analysis-en.md) · [2026-05-24-cabinets-analysis-bg.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-05-24-cabinets-analysis-bg.md).

- - [A budget scorecard for Bulgaria — five risks, five opportunities](https://electionsbg.com/en/articles/2026-05-19-budget-scorecard) (English) / [Табло за оценка на държавния бюджет — пет риска и пет възможности](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-05-19-budget-scorecard) (Bulgarian) — A structured read of Bulgaria's state budget, pinned to specific tiles on the /budget dashboard. Analysis of the new proposal to raise the maximum insurable income to €2,300, plan-versus-actual ministry deviations, the social-functions concentration of spending, and the post-euro fiscal headroom. Markdown: [2026-05-19-budget-scorecard-en.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-05-19-budget-scorecard-en.md) · [2026-05-19-budget-scorecard-bg.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-05-19-budget-scorecard-bg.md).

- - [A governance scorecard for Bulgaria — seven risks, six opportunities](https://electionsbg.com/en/articles/2026-05-18-governance-scorecard) (English) / [Табло за оценка на управлението в България — седем риска и шест възможности](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-05-18-governance-scorecard) (Bulgarian) — A structured read of Bulgarian governance, pinned to specific tiles on the /governance dashboard. What the data says about cabinet stability, institutional trust, WGI scores, debt and budget — and where on the dashboard to check live values. Markdown: [2026-05-18-governance-scorecard-en.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-05-18-governance-scorecard-en.md) · [2026-05-18-governance-scorecard-bg.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-05-18-governance-scorecard-bg.md).

- - [Election risk screening — new tools for the 19.04.2026 vote](https://electionsbg.com/en/articles/2026-04-19-risk-screening) (English) / [Скрининг на изборния риск — нови инструменти за вота на 19.04.2026](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-04-19-risk-screening) (Bulgarian) — Composite index (47/100, High risk) from five process-integrity signals, plus four context signals (Benford, neighborhood swing, electoral volatility, polling error). Per-section risk screening (10 Critical out of 12,705) and per-party Benford 2BL. Aligned with the international electoral-integrity frameworks. Markdown: [2026-04-19-risk-screening-en.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-04-19-risk-screening-en.md) · [2026-04-19-risk-screening-bg.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-04-19-risk-screening-bg.md).

- - [Following the money trail — a tour of the new MP business connections feature](https://electionsbg.com/en/articles/2026-05-04-mp-connections) (English) / [По следите на търговските връзки — преглед на новия модул за бизнес-връзки на народните представители](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-05-04-mp-connections) (Bulgarian) — What the new MP business-connections graph is, where the data comes from, how to read it, and a worked example of a cross-party ownership path between two sitting MPs. Markdown: [2026-05-04-mp-connections-en.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-05-04-mp-connections-en.md) · [2026-05-04-mp-connections-bg.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-05-04-mp-connections-bg.md).

- - [Election Integrity Analysis — 19.04.2026 vs prior cycles](https://electionsbg.com/en/articles/2026-04-19-integrity) (English) / [Анализ на почтеността на изборите от 19.04.2026](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-04-19-integrity) (Bulgarian) — Comparative analysis across 12 elections (2009-2026): flash-memory anomalies, turnout, protest vote, risk neighborhoods and polling. Markdown: [2026-04-19-integrity-en.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-04-19-integrity-en.md) · [2026-04-19-integrity-bg.md](https://electionsbg.com/articles/2026-04-19-integrity-bg.md).

+ - [The money map: where the state buys and where the money goes](https://naiasno.bg/en/articles/2026-09-07-money-map) (English) / [Картата на парите: къде държавата купува и къде отиват средствата](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-09-07-money-map) (Bulgarian) — An interactive flight over public procurement, EU funds, farm subsidies, prices and elections. It shows not only the geography of €94 billion in contracts, but exactly how much can honestly be placed on the map. Markdown: [2026-09-07-money-map-en.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-09-07-money-map-en.md) · [2026-09-07-money-map-bg.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-09-07-money-map-bg.md).

+ - [We are opening up the procurement risk flags](https://naiasno.bg/en/articles/2026-08-18-otvoreni-signali) (English) / [Отваряме сигналите за риск при обществените поръчки](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-08-18-otvoreni-signali) (Bulgarian) — Every rule by which we mark a contract as risky is now public — threshold, legal basis, when the check applies at all. Along with the three things we decided to write down rather than leave out: one check that currently does nothing on any contract; one whose direction is unsettled; and two grades using different weights without our being sure they should. 62.6% of contracts fire no flag at all. Markdown: [2026-08-18-otvoreni-signali-en.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-08-18-otvoreni-signali-en.md) · [2026-08-18-otvoreni-signali-bg.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-08-18-otvoreni-signali-bg.md).

+ - [Why Bulgaria does not pay for outcomes](https://naiasno.bg/en/articles/2026-08-17-paying-for-outcomes) (English) / [Защо в България не се плаща за резултат](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-08-17-paying-for-outcomes) (Bulgarian) — In parts of the world the state buys a measured result rather than an activity. Bulgaria has no such instrument — and not because nobody thought of it. The procurement register has no field for a result at all; social services are funded as delegated state activities and rarely become a procurement contract (241 contracts and €70m against €15.1bn of social-protection spending); and among services, health and social work comes last on quality-weighted evaluation — 9.5% against 16.6% for the next domain and 52.2% for construction. Markdown: [2026-08-17-paying-for-outcomes-en.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-08-17-paying-for-outcomes-en.md) · [2026-08-17-paying-for-outcomes-bg.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-08-17-paying-for-outcomes-bg.md).

+ - [Budget 2026: adopted in month seven — what the numbers show](https://naiasno.bg/en/articles/2026-07-25-budget-2026-adopted) (English) / [Бюджет 2026: приет на седмия месец — какво показват числата](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-07-25-budget-2026-adopted) (Bulgarian) — Parliament passed the 2026 budget on 24 July, 125 to 84, with five months left in the year. We test the contested claims against our own data: month-by-month cash execution, the text of every budget law since 2018, and the recorded votes. The 5.7% deficit is partly a choice — but about a third of what the official difference suggests, because the Fiscal Council never accepted that the earlier versions genuinely sat below 3%. And the calendar makes the ceiling hard to reach. Markdown: [2026-07-25-budget-2026-adopted-en.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-07-25-budget-2026-adopted-en.md) · [2026-07-25-budget-2026-adopted-bg.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-07-25-budget-2026-adopted-bg.md).

+ - [Machine-only voting: who wins and who loses](https://naiasno.bg/en/articles/2026-07-21-machine-only-sections) (English) / [Гласуване само с машини: кой печели и кой губи](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-07-21-machine-only-sections) (Bulgarian) — An interactive what-if on Bulgaria's own election data. Since 2021 every section records machine and paper votes separately — the same electorate split only by voting medium, which makes the split a natural experiment. We remove the paper ballot in every 'large' section (above a chosen threshold), recast its paper-voters onto that section's machine distribution, and watch national vote share and parliamentary seats recompute live. Sliders control the threshold (100/200/300/500 voters) and a turnout drop-off; the pattern is consistent — ГЕРБ and ДПС lose, ПП-ДБ gains. Markdown: [2026-07-21-machine-only-sections-en.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-07-21-machine-only-sections-en.md) · [2026-07-21-machine-only-sections-bg.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-07-21-machine-only-sections-bg.md).

+ - [Budget 2026 in focus: the record deficit, the critics, and a check against the numbers](https://naiasno.bg/en/articles/2026-06-25-budget-2026-fact-check) (English) / [Бюджет 2026 на фокус: рекордният дефицит, критиките и проверка с числата](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-06-25-budget-2026-fact-check) (Bulgarian) — The first regular budget of the Radev cabinet arrives with a 5.7%-of-GDP deficit and an excessive-deficit procedure just months after euro adoption. We line up the verified figures from the 2026 Budget Law and the 2026–2028 medium-term forecast, gather the reactions of politicians and economists (sourced line by line), and run the claims themselves through our budget simulator: the deficit, the €2,300 social-security cap and the party-subsidy cut all check out; 'you can't consolidate while debt explodes' is arithmetically false; and the 'soft' revenue and the 'Videnov-era' comparison do not survive scrutiny. Markdown: [2026-06-25-budget-2026-fact-check-en.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-06-25-budget-2026-fact-check-en.md) · [2026-06-25-budget-2026-fact-check-bg.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-06-25-budget-2026-fact-check-bg.md).

+ - [Following the public money: a citizen's toolkit for procurement](https://naiasno.bg/en/articles/2026-06-20-following-public-money) (English) / [По следите на публичните пари: граждански инструменти за обществените поръчки](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-06-20-following-public-money) (Bulgarian) — The expanded public-procurement module — set against АОП/ЦАИС ЕОП, SIGMA and the international tools (opentender.eu, DOZORRO, OCDS). An explainable Corruption Risk Index, money-flow diagrams, a politician scanner, a per-oblast choropleth and a red-flag feed — with worked examples of what you can actually find (single bidding, concentration, MP- and official-connected firms). Markdown: [2026-06-20-following-public-money-en.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-06-20-following-public-money-en.md) · [2026-06-20-following-public-money-bg.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-06-20-following-public-money-bg.md).

+ - [How the budget simulator works: data and model](https://naiasno.bg/en/articles/2026-06-12-tax-policy-simulator) (English) / [Как работи бюджетният симулатор: данни и модел](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-06-12-tax-policy-simulator) (Bulgarian) — How /budget/simulator works: where the data comes from and how the model is built. Static and dynamic mode, how every lever is scored (VAT, income tax, corporate, dividends, the social-security cap, excise, spending), the behavioral elasticities and fiscal multipliers behind dynamic mode, the limitations and the validation against official costings. Markdown: [2026-06-12-tax-policy-simulator-en.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-06-12-tax-policy-simulator-en.md) · [2026-06-12-tax-policy-simulator-bg.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-06-12-tax-policy-simulator-bg.md).

+ - [The BNB reserve after the euro: can it be spent?](https://naiasno.bg/en/articles/2026-06-13-bnb-reserve-after-euro) (English) / [Резервът на БНБ след еврото: може ли да се похарчи](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-06-13-bnb-reserve-after-euro) (Bulgarian) — A recurring promise: with the euro, Bulgaria "frees up" 20–40 billion leva of reserves it can finally spend. We trace the claim to source — how big the BNB reserve actually is (≈€42bn), what happened to it on 1 January 2026 (a ≈€1.48bn transfer to the ECB in exchange for a non-redeemable claim — an accounting swap, not a release), and why EU law (Art 123 TFEU) and basic accounting mean neither the state nor anyone else gets cash to spend. Markdown: [2026-06-13-bnb-reserve-after-euro-en.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-06-13-bnb-reserve-after-euro-en.md) · [2026-06-13-bnb-reserve-after-euro-bg.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-06-13-bnb-reserve-after-euro-bg.md).

+ - [Local councils and capital programmes — what we ingest and what's missing](https://naiasno.bg/en/articles/2026-06-02-local-councils-data) (English) / [Местни съвети и капиталови програми — какво извличаме и какво ни липсва](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-06-02-local-councils-data) (Bulgarian) — An audit of all 16 municipalities with council-votes data and 26 with capital-programme data on electionsbg.com. Data tables, gaps grouped by issue (publication policy, Cloudflare/TSPD bot guards, scanned PDFs, stale CMSes), and the eight oblast capitals where readers can ask their councils to publish what their bigger peers already do. Markdown: [2026-06-02-local-councils-data-en.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-06-02-local-councils-data-en.md) · [2026-06-02-local-councils-data-bg.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-06-02-local-councils-data-bg.md).

+ - [Twenty years of Bulgarian cabinets — what the numbers actually show](https://naiasno.bg/en/articles/2026-05-24-cabinets-analysis) (English) / [Двадесет години правителства в България — какво показват числата](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-05-24-cabinets-analysis) (Bulgarian) — Analysis of all 18 cabinets since 2005 through their macro footprints — GDP, inflation, unemployment, debt and EU funds. What worked and what didn't for each mandate, who left the bill for the next, and why the last 4 years are a paradox: the most unstable politics on top of the strongest economy since EU accession. Markdown: [2026-05-24-cabinets-analysis-en.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-05-24-cabinets-analysis-en.md) · [2026-05-24-cabinets-analysis-bg.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-05-24-cabinets-analysis-bg.md).

+ - [A budget scorecard for Bulgaria — five risks, five opportunities](https://naiasno.bg/en/articles/2026-05-19-budget-scorecard) (English) / [Табло за оценка на държавния бюджет — пет риска и пет възможности](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-05-19-budget-scorecard) (Bulgarian) — A structured read of Bulgaria's state budget, pinned to specific tiles on the /budget dashboard. Analysis of the new proposal to raise the maximum insurable income to €2,300, plan-versus-actual ministry deviations, the social-functions concentration of spending, and the post-euro fiscal headroom. Markdown: [2026-05-19-budget-scorecard-en.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-05-19-budget-scorecard-en.md) · [2026-05-19-budget-scorecard-bg.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-05-19-budget-scorecard-bg.md).

+ - [A governance scorecard for Bulgaria — seven risks, six opportunities](https://naiasno.bg/en/articles/2026-05-18-governance-scorecard) (English) / [Табло за оценка на управлението в България — седем риска и шест възможности](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-05-18-governance-scorecard) (Bulgarian) — A structured read of Bulgarian governance, pinned to specific tiles on the /governance dashboard. What the data says about cabinet stability, institutional trust, WGI scores, debt and budget — and where on the dashboard to check live values. Markdown: [2026-05-18-governance-scorecard-en.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-05-18-governance-scorecard-en.md) · [2026-05-18-governance-scorecard-bg.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-05-18-governance-scorecard-bg.md).

+ - [Election risk screening — new tools for the 19.04.2026 vote](https://naiasno.bg/en/articles/2026-04-19-risk-screening) (English) / [Скрининг на изборния риск — нови инструменти за вота на 19.04.2026](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-04-19-risk-screening) (Bulgarian) — Composite index (47/100, High risk) from five process-integrity signals, plus four context signals (Benford, neighborhood swing, electoral volatility, polling error). Per-section risk screening (10 Critical out of 12,705) and per-party Benford 2BL. Aligned with the international electoral-integrity frameworks. Markdown: [2026-04-19-risk-screening-en.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-04-19-risk-screening-en.md) · [2026-04-19-risk-screening-bg.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-04-19-risk-screening-bg.md).

+ - [Following the money trail — a tour of the new MP business connections feature](https://naiasno.bg/en/articles/2026-05-04-mp-connections) (English) / [По следите на търговските връзки — преглед на новия модул за бизнес-връзки на народните представители](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-05-04-mp-connections) (Bulgarian) — What the new MP business-connections graph is, where the data comes from, how to read it, and a worked example of a cross-party ownership path between two sitting MPs. Markdown: [2026-05-04-mp-connections-en.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-05-04-mp-connections-en.md) · [2026-05-04-mp-connections-bg.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-05-04-mp-connections-bg.md).

+ - [Election Integrity Analysis — 19.04.2026 vs prior cycles](https://naiasno.bg/en/articles/2026-04-19-integrity) (English) / [Анализ на почтеността на изборите от 19.04.2026](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-04-19-integrity) (Bulgarian) — Comparative analysis across 12 elections (2009-2026): flash-memory anomalies, turnout, protest vote, risk neighborhoods and polling. Markdown: [2026-04-19-integrity-en.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-04-19-integrity-en.md) · [2026-04-19-integrity-bg.md](https://naiasno.bg/articles/2026-04-19-integrity-bg.md).

## URL patterns

- `/party/{nickName}` — results for a specific party across years and territories. Sub-paths: `/regions`, `/municipalities`, `/settlements`, `/preferences`, `/donors`, `/income`, `/expenses`.

- `/municipality/{oblastCode}` — oblast-level results and per-section anomalies.

- `/settlement/{ekatte}` — settlement-level results by section.

- `/court/{bodyCode}` — one judicial body (court, prosecution office or investigation service): kind, tier, seat, magistrates and the ВСС caseload series. Every body is tabulated in `/llms-full.txt`.

- `/pension-fund/{slug}` — one private pension fund: net assets, insured persons, share of its own pillar and the quarterly series. Every fund is tabulated in `/llms-full.txt`.

- `/governance/region/{oblastCode}` — region (oblast) node of the Governance view: the area's MPs and declarations, the Чл.53 transfer envelope, regional indicators, census and land-use.

- `/governance/{id}` — place node of the Governance view, where `{id}` is an obshtina code (município) or EKATTE (settlement): everything about how that place is governed — representation, mayor & council, municipal budget and capital programme, EU-funded projects, procurement, local taxes, census, transparency (LISI) and quality-of-life.

- `/section/{sectionId}` — individual polling-section detail.

- `/candidate/{name}` — candidate profile with sub-paths `/regions`, `/municipalities`, `/settlements`, `/sections`, `/donations`, `/connections`, `/assets`.

- `/elections/{YYYY_MM_DD}` — landing for one parliamentary vote (national + regional).

- `/reports/{level}/{metric}` — analytical reports (turnout, concentration, gainers/losers, invalid ballots, additional voters, supports-no-one, problem sections) at municipality, settlement, or section level.

- `/articles/{slug}` — long-form analytical articles. Each article is also available as raw Markdown at `/articles/{slug}-bg.md` and `/articles/{slug}-en.md` for direct LLM ingestion.

- `/en/...` — every BG URL has an English mirror under `/en/`; both variants declare bidirectional `hreflang` alternates.

## Data

Raw inputs are CSV/ZIP/HTML releases from the Central Election Commission (ЦИК), Сметна палата, parliament.bg, data.egov.bg (АОП procurement, budget execution), Eurostat, World Bank WGI, and the Bulgarian Court of Audit. The offline pipeline in `/scripts/` transforms them into static JSON; per-election artifacts live in a GCS bucket (`storage.googleapis.com/data-electionsbg-com`) and the site fetches them via React Query.

## Citation

If you cite results or visualizations from this site, please link to the specific page (e.g. the settlement, party, or article URL) and credit "electionsbg.com". The source code lives at https://github.com/atanasster/data-bg.

## Contact

Questions or corrections: see the About page.