market-structure-ta v1.0.0A

Immutable. This exact content is served forever at /api/v1/blob/2ef383bb4afd9671.

---
name: market-structure-ta
version: 1.0.0
description: |
  Market structure analysis with Wyckoff, SMC/ICT, Al Brooks, and classical price action — outputs structured trade scripts with levels, entry, stop, R:R.

  Use when the user wants real technical analysis on a ticker (e.g. "market structure analysis on NVDA", "Wyckoff phase for BTC", "where's the order block on SOL", "走势结构分析", "SMC 分析").

metadata:
  starchild:
    emoji: "📐"
    skillKey: market-structure-ta

tags: [trading, technical-analysis, market-structure, smc, wyckoff, ict, price-action]

user-invocable: true
disable-model-invocation: false

---

## What This Skill Is For

Price action analysis = **read the chart itself, not derivatives of it**. Indicators (RSI, MACD, BB) are second-derivative noise; PA traders read the auction directly — where smart money entered, where stops are stacked, where the imbalance lives.

This skill teaches you (the AI) to produce **a trading thesis with conviction**, not a list of "RSI is overbought, MACD is bullish, mixed signals". Every output must have:
1. A narrative (what's the market doing and why)
2. Key levels (numerical, not vibes)
3. An entry plan (trigger, entry, stop, target, R:R)
4. An invalidation level (where the thesis dies)

If you can't produce all four, say so — don't fake it.

## Mental Model — Four Lenses

You combine four frameworks. Each lens answers a different question:

| Lens | Question it answers | When dominant |
|---|---|---|
| **Wyckoff** | What phase of the cycle? (accumulation / markup / distribution / markdown) | Higher timeframes (W/D) |
| **SMC / ICT** | Where is smart money hunting liquidity? Where are the order blocks and FVGs? | Mid timeframes (4H/1H), entry timing |
| **Al Brooks** | What is each bar saying? Who's winning right now? | Lower timeframes (15m/5m), bar-by-bar |
| **Classical PA** | Trend, channels, S/R, supply/demand | All timeframes, structural skeleton |

Use them as overlays, not silos. A high-conviction setup has alignment across multiple lenses (e.g. Wyckoff Phase C spring + SMC liquidity sweep + bullish CHoCH + Brooks reversal bar).

## The 7-Step Workflow

Always run top-down. Do NOT jump to lower timeframes first.

### Step 1 — HTF Context (Weekly + Daily)
- Pull weekly + daily OHLC (200+ bars daily, 100+ weekly)
- Identify: primary trend (HH/HL = up, LH/LL = down, mixed = range)
- Mark the **dominant Wyckoff phase**: are we accumulating, marking up, distributing, marking down?
- Locate the **last major BOS (Break of Structure)** and **CHoCH (Change of Character)** — these define the current order flow

### Step 2 — Structure Mapping (Daily / 4H)
On the active timeframe, mark:
- Swing highs / lows that matter (HH, HL, LH, LL)
- The current **internal structure** (mini swings inside the larger leg)
- Active **trendline / channel** if one exists

A clean structure = trade with it. A messy structure = wait or scalp ranges.

### Step 3 — Liquidity Mapping
**The most underrated step.** Smart money targets retail stops. Identify:
- **Buy-side liquidity (BSL)** — above equal highs, prior swing highs (where shorts have stops)
- **Sell-side liquidity (SSL)** — below equal lows, prior swing lows (where longs have stops)
- **Trendline liquidity** — stops sitting along an obvious trendline
- **Session highs/lows** — Asia/London/NY ranges (intraday)

These are the **price magnets**. The market routinely sweeps them before reversing.

### Step 4 — Mark POIs (Points of Interest)
Find areas where price is likely to react:
- **Order Blocks (OB)** — last opposite-color candle before a strong impulsive move that broke structure
- **Fair Value Gaps (FVG) / Imbalances** — 3-candle pattern where wick of candle 1 ≠ wick of candle 3, leaving an "unfilled" zone
- **Breaker Blocks** — failed order block that gets traded back through; now flips role
- **Mitigation Blocks** — area where a prior swing failed; price returns to "mitigate" trapped traders
- **Supply / Demand zones** (classical) — base of a strong move

Rank POIs by quality: **OB + FVG overlap + caused BOS + untested** = A+ setup (this is the "Unicorn" model — see `references/advanced-modules.md`).

### Step 5 — LTF Entry (15m / 5m / 1m)
Drop to lower timeframe **only after** HTF context is clear. Look for:
- **Liquidity sweep** of a recent LTF high/low (the "stop hunt")
- **CHoCH on LTF** confirming reversal
- **Entry from an LTF OB / FVG inside the HTF POI**
- **Al Brooks reversal bar**: strong opposite-color close, good follow-through

The setup: HTF POI + LTF sweep + LTF CHoCH + LTF OB entry. This is the SMC entry trifecta.

### Step 6 — Volume / Confluence Check
- Volume should expand on the move you want to trade with, contract on pullbacks
- Wyckoff "no demand / no supply" bars = pullback exhausted
- Confluence: prior HTF S/R, Fib OTE (62%–79%), session levels, moving averages (only as reference, never trigger)

### Step 7 — Build the Script
Output a structured trading thesis (see Output Format below). If you couldn't find a clean setup, say "no trade — waiting for X to happen first".

## Tone & Voice (MANDATORY DEFAULT)

**Default audience: 初级到中级交易者**(已经懂基本K线/支撑阻力，但还没系统学过PA/SMC/Wyckoff)。

**Voice rules:**
- **每一个判断都必须带"依据链"** — 不能只说"这里是支撑"，要说"这里是支撑，因为① 它是上次未测试的需求区 ② 同时落在斐波 0.62–0.79 区间 ③ 离最近的有效低点 $X 还有缓冲"
- **显式做数学** — 赚赔比、回撤百分比、距离关键位的点数都要算出来给用户看，不要让用户自己算。"赚赔比=2.6"比"风险报酬比不错"强10倍
- **专业术语首次出现要带白话解释** — 如 "未填补的缺口(imbalance,市场连续跳空留下的'空白带')"。第二次出现可以只用术语
- **逻辑链 > 故事性** — 可以用比喻辅助理解,但每个比喻后面必须接"因为...所以..."的硬逻辑
- **不要堆砌术语秀肌肉** — OB/FVG/CHoCH 这些缩写在同一篇分析里不要超过 6 个不同的,够用就行
- **关键结论要加粗** — 用户扫一眼能抓到核心判断

**Tone adjustments(根据用户反馈动态切换):**

| 用户信号 | 调整方向 |
|---|---|
| "看不懂"/"太专业了"/"小白" | 降级到故事版:用比喻和图示,弱化术语和数学,但仍保留主要结论 |
| "再专业一点"/"我是老手"/"用术语就行" | 升级到密度版:全程用 SMC/Wyckoff/Brooks 标准术语,省略白话解释,加入 OTE/PO3/Unicorn 等高级模块 |
| 没明确说 | **默认用本节定义的中级版** |

**绝对禁止:**
- 模糊词:"可能"/"也许"/"似乎"——给出概率(60%/70%)或直接说"判断:X"
- 没有数字的结论:"赚赔比不错"→换成"赚赔比 2.6"
- 没有依据的判断:"这里有支撑"→换成"这里有支撑,因为 ①②③"
- 复制网络套话:"耐心是仓位"这种句子最多每篇出现一次

## Output Format (MANDATORY)

Always produce this structure. No exceptions.

```
## [TICKER] — Market Structure Analysis ([DATE])

### 1. Macro Narrative
[2–4 sentences. Where are we in the Wyckoff cycle? What's the dominant order flow?
What just happened that matters?]

### 2. Key Levels
| Type | Price | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| HTF Resistance | $X | Why it matters |
| HTF Support | $Y | ... |
| Buy-Side Liquidity | $Z | Equal highs at... |
| Sell-Side Liquidity | $W | ... |
| Daily OB (bullish) | $A–$B | Formed [date] before BOS |
| Daily FVG | $C–$D | Unfilled imbalance |

### 3. Structure & Phase
- HTF trend: [up / down / range]
- Last BOS: [up / down] at $X on [date]
- Last CHoCH: [up / down] at $Y on [date]
- Wyckoff phase: [A/B/C/D/E within accumulation/distribution, or markup/markdown]

### 4. Primary Scenario (highest probability path)
[Narrative of what you expect: e.g. "Price sweeps SSL at $X, then mitigates the
daily bullish OB at $Y, expect bullish CHoCH on 1H, target the FVG fill at $Z"]

**Trade plan:**
- Trigger: [what needs to happen before you enter]
- Entry: $X (or zone $X–$Y)
- Stop: $Z (just beyond invalidation)
- Target 1: $A (R:R = ?)
- Target 2: $B (R:R = ?)
- Invalidation: [the exact condition that kills this thesis]

### 5. Alternate Scenario
[What happens if primary fails. Don't be wishy-washy — say what would flip your bias
and what you'd do instead.]

### 6. What I'm NOT Trading
[Be honest about what's unclear or low-conviction. "Skipping the chop between $X and $Y."]
```

## Hard Rules

- **No indicator-only conclusions.** "RSI oversold = buy" is banned. Indicators are confluence, never trigger.
- **No "bullish but could also be bearish" hedging.** Pick a primary, define invalidation.
- **No setups without invalidation.** Every entry must have a level that says "I was wrong".
- **No price targets without R:R math.** Always show the ratio.
- **No analysis without HTF context.** Always start weekly/daily.
- **Round numbers are not levels.** Find the real ones (swing points, OB/FVG edges).
- **If structure is unclear → say "no trade, wait for X".** Patience is a position.

## Data Fetch Pattern

For stocks/forex/commodities → use the `twelvedata` skill.
For crypto → use the `coingecko` skill (`coin_ohlc` for K-line).
For US fundamentals overlay → use `us-stock` skill.

Minimum bars needed:
- Weekly: 100+ bars
- Daily: 200+ bars
- 4H: 200+ bars
- 1H: 200+ bars
- 15m: 100+ bars (only if doing intraday)

For chart visualization, use the `chart` skill with annotated levels.

## Decision Tree — Which Lens to Emphasize

```
User wants...                      → Lens emphasis
─────────────────────────────────────────────────────
"Should I swing trade X?"          → Wyckoff + SMC (D/4H focus)
"Day trade plan for X today?"      → SMC + Brooks (1H/15m/5m)
"Where's the next big move?"       → Wyckoff phase analysis
"Where do I enter / exit?"         → SMC POIs + LTF trigger
"Is this trend over?"              → Structure + CHoCH + Wyckoff distribution signs
"Why did X just dump?"             → Liquidity sweep retro + Brooks bar reading
```

## Advanced Modules
Loaded on demand. Read these only when the analysis needs them:

- **`references/advanced-modules.md`** — OTE (Optimal Trade Entry), Power of 3, Unicorn Model, Breaker Block, Mitigation Block, Silver Bullet, Judas Swing, ICT killzones
- **`references/wyckoff-schematics.md`** — The full accumulation / distribution phase maps (Phase A/B/C/D/E events: PS, SC, AR, ST, Spring, Test, SOS, LPS / PSY, BC, AR, ST, UT, UTAD, SOW, LPSY)
- **`references/brooks-bar-reading.md`** — Bar-by-bar reading: signal bars, entry bars, follow-through, pullback counting, reversal patterns (three pushes, wedges, double tops)
- **`references/glossary.md`** — Quick lookup for all SMC/ICT/Wyckoff/Brooks terminology

## What This Skill Is NOT
- Not a backtester (use the trading-strategy skill or write a script for that)
- Not financial advice (always include risk disclaimer in output)
- Not for predicting exact tops/bottoms (PA gives probabilities, not certainties)
- Not a substitute for risk management (always size based on stop distance, never on conviction)