token-research · git:20260501.87cefc9 · 2026-05-01 · sha256 b5a3ad705a26034c
token-research git:20260501.87cefc9A
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--- name: token-research description: Conduct comprehensive fundamental analysis on crypto tokens covering team, technology, tokenomics, competitive landscape, and investment thesis evaluation. license: MIT metadata: category: analysis difficulty: intermediate author: sperax-team tags: [analysis, research, fundamentals, due-diligence, tokens] --- # Token Research ## When to use this skill Use when the user asks about: - Researching a specific token or project - Evaluating whether a token is worth investing in - Understanding a project's fundamentals - Performing due diligence on a new crypto project - Comparing token fundamentals across competing projects ## Research Framework ### 1. Project Overview Establish the basics: - **What does this project do?** — one-paragraph summary in plain language - **Problem being solved** — what specific pain point does it address? - **Solution approach** — how does the technology solve it? - **Chain and ecosystem** — which blockchain, L1/L2, and ecosystem position - **Stage** — mainnet, testnet, concept? How long has it been live? - **Unique value proposition** — what differentiates it from alternatives? ### 2. Team and Governance Evaluate the people and organization: - **Core team** — public identities, relevant experience, previous projects - **Advisors** — notable advisors and their actual involvement level - **Development activity** — GitHub commits, active contributors count (30d, 90d) - **Governance model** — on-chain governance, multisig, foundation-controlled? - **Transparency** — does the team communicate regularly? Public roadmap? - **Red flags** — anonymous team with no track record, previous failed projects, legal issues ### 3. Technology Assessment Analyze the technical architecture: - **Consensus mechanism** or core technical innovation - **Scalability** — throughput, latency, and roadmap for improvements - **Security** — audit history, bug bounty program, incident history - **Composability** — integrations with other protocols and ecosystem fit - **Technical differentiation** — what is novel vs fork of existing tech? - **Open source** — is code public and verifiable? ### 4. Tokenomics Deep Dive Break down the token economy: - **Total supply** and circulating supply - **Emission schedule** — inflation rate over 1, 2, 5 years - **Distribution** — team %, investors %, community %, treasury % - **Vesting schedules** — when do large unlocks occur? (upcoming cliff dates) - **Utility** — what does the token actually do? (governance, fees, staking, collateral) - **Value accrual** — does protocol revenue flow to token holders? How? - **Buyback/burn mechanisms** — any deflationary pressures? - **Fully diluted valuation** vs current market cap — how much dilution ahead? ### 5. Market and Competitive Analysis Position within the broader market: - **Market category** — DeFi, L1, NFT infra, oracle, etc. - **Direct competitors** — list 3-5 with brief comparison - **Market share** — TVL, volume, users relative to competitors - **Competitive advantages** — moats, network effects, switching costs - **Market cap ranking** — within its category - **Growth trajectory** — user growth, TVL growth, volume growth trends ### 6. On-Chain Metrics Current health indicators: - **Active addresses** (daily, weekly) and trend - **Transaction volume** and fees generated - **TVL** if applicable, and TVL/market cap ratio - **Holder distribution** — concentration among top wallets - **Smart money activity** — are prominent wallets accumulating or distributing? ### 7. Risk Assessment Identify and rate key risks: - **Technical risk** — unproven tech, single point of failure - **Market risk** — category headwinds, competition pressure - **Regulatory risk** — securities classification, jurisdiction issues - **Tokenomics risk** — upcoming unlocks, high inflation, VC overhang - **Execution risk** — can the team deliver on roadmap? - **Liquidity risk** — thin order books, limited exchange listings ### 8. Output Format - **Project**: Name and ticker - **Category**: Market segment - **Summary**: 2-3 sentence thesis - **Strengths**: Top 3 positives - **Risks**: Top 3 concerns - **Tokenomics verdict**: Healthy / Concerning / Poor - **Valuation assessment**: Undervalued / Fair / Overvalued (relative to peers) - **Conviction level**: High / Medium / Low - **Suggested action**: Research further / Small position / Conviction buy / Avoid