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causal skillA

causal is agent-read markdown (skill) from ai-analyst-lab/ai-analyst: Causal inference toolkit for when experiments are not possible: estimate treatment effects from observational data with assumption checks and mandatory caveats. Invoke as /causal. Trigger on "causal", "caused", "impact of", "effect of", "attribution", "counterfactual", "difference-in-differences", "DiD", "propensity matching", "pre-post". If randomization IS possible, route to /experiment design instead..

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What the file says

# Skill: /causal — OpenCausalInf Causal Inference Toolkit

## Purpose
Multi-mode skill for causal inference when experiments aren't possible. Helps users estimate treatment effects from observational data with explicit assumption checking, sensitivity analysis, and mandatory caveats. Uses coded helpers from `helpers/stats/experiment_stats/causal/`.

## When to Use
Invoke as `/causal [mode]` or trigger on causal inference intents:
- "Did this feature actually cause the improvement?"
- "We can't run an experiment, but..."
- "Was this change responsible for the metric movement?"
- "Can we measure the impact retroactively?"

## Modes

### `/causal select`
**Purpose:** Walk the method selection decision tree and recommend a causal method.
**Agent:** `agents/causal/causal-method-selector.md`
**Flow:**
1. Ask 4-6 diagnostic questions:
   - Can you randomize? → Route to `/experiment design`
   - Do you have a comparison group?
   - Do you have pre-treatment data?
   - Are there observable confounders you can measure?
   - How many time periods do you have?
2. Recommend: Pre-Post, DiD, PSM, Regression Adjustment, or "not feasible"
…

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How to install

Latest version
mdr add ai-analyst-lab/ai-analyst/causal@git:20260828.01c26bc
Exact content
mdr add ai-analyst-lab/ai-analyst/causal@sha256:e7ec17d3f7b0b236

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Versions

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git:20260828.01c26bc latest2026-08-28 01c26bc 7,229 BA view · diff
git:20260827.7ff2e252026-08-27 7ff2e25 7,213 BA view

Audit of the latest version

A  17 of 17 checks passed. Deterministic, no model, same answer every run.
  • pass: Frontmatter block present
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a name
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a description
  • pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (7229 bytes)
  • pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
  • pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
  • pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
  • pass: No credential-shaped string
  • pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
  • pass: No text hidden with inline styles
  • pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
  • pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
  • pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
  • pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
  • pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
  • pass: No link to a raw IP address
  • pass: No script tag

Source

GitHub

ai-analyst-lab/ai-analyst · 302 stars · license MIT · pushed 2026-09-22 · branch main

API

GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_2o2lwkj42yr7lj4a
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=ai-analyst-lab/ai-analyst/causal
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/e7ec17d3f7b0b23670a14e0929320034c15cba9bab585118c9b6ccd0b49ba857

Your agent does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.

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