risk-analysis SKILL.md skillA

risk-analysis from hkuds/vibe-trading is an agent skill: a SKILL.md folder an AI agent loads when a task calls for it.

Install it, pinned
mdr add hkuds/vibe-trading/risk-analysis@git:20261011.d3c7681

Pins git:20261011.d3c7681 in mdr.lock. Pin the fingerprint instead.

Audit grade
A, 17 of 17 checks passed
Kind
SKILL.md skill
Repository
hkuds/vibe-trading
Path
agent/src/skills/risk-analysis/SKILL.md
Versions recorded
5
Latest version
git:20261011.d3c7681, committed Oct 11, 2026
First version recorded
Apr 1, 2026
Size
15,387 bytes
Repository stars
37,923
License
MIT

Risk measurement and stress testing — VaR/CVaR/max drawdown calculation, Monte Carlo simulation, extreme-value tail-risk analysis, and historical scenario stress testing.

Collected from public GitHub. Every version is saved exactly as it was and never changes. Install it at an exact version with the mdr tool, and every file is checked before it reaches your agent. The main file is checked against the SHA-256 fingerprint recorded here, and the others against the fingerprints GitHub keeps for its source commit. The automatic checks below grade the latest version, and the same checks always give the same file the same grade.

What the file says

# Risk Measurement and Stress Testing

## Overview

Systematic risk-measurement methodology covering VaR/CVaR calculation, Monte Carlo simulation, stress-test design, and tail-risk analysis. It provides risk evaluation for backtest results and risk-control constraints for asset allocation.

The measures below are implemented once, with tests, in `src/quantlib/risk.py`. Call them; do not retype the formulas, because a hand-retyped VaR is where the sign convention silently flips.

```python
from src.quantlib.risk import (
    historical_var, parametric_var, historical_cvar,
    max_drawdown_analysis, monte_carlo_gbm, analyze_mc_results, fit_gpd_tail,
)
```

### Sign convention

**A loss is a positive number**, uniformly, across every function in the module:

| Value | Reads as |
|------|------|
| `historical_var(...) == 0.028` | a 2.8% loss |
| `historical_cvar(...) == 0.042` | a 4.2% average loss in the tail |
| `max_drawdown_analysis(...)["max_drawdown"] == 0.325` | a 32.5% peak-to-trough decline |
| `analyze_mc_results(...)["var"] == 0.224` | a 22.4% loss |
…

Read the whole file at its exact version.

How to install

The exact contents, by fingerprint
mdr add hkuds/vibe-trading/risk-analysis@sha256:dca9b1d1ff7bf0fd

The line at the top of this page pins the label git:20261011.d3c7681, which is what most people want. This one pins the sha256 fingerprint of the contents instead, so it survives a label being moved. Either way the exact version is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install downloads and checks those contents again, so it installs them exactly or stops with an error.

Badge

mdr badge

[![mdr](https://markdownregistry.com/badge/art_7docbsute54y5g5i.svg)](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_7docbsute54y5g5i)

2 badge image fetches in 30 days. What the badge shows.

Versions

The registry has recorded 5 versions of this file, between Apr 1, 2026 and Oct 11, 2026, about one every 48 days.

versioncommittedcommitsizeaudit
git:20261011.d3c7681 latest2026-10-11 d3c7681 15,387 BA view · diff
git:20260823.d472f9b2026-08-23 d472f9b 15,257 BA view · diff
git:20260805.62b8d9d2026-08-05 62b8d9d 15,254 BA view · diff
git:20260409.27354eb2026-04-09 27354eb 11,011 BA view · diff
git:20260401.34eae372026-04-01 34eae37 10,992 BA view

Audit of the latest version

A  17 of 17 checks passed. Fixed automatic checks with no AI involved, so the same checks give the same answer every run.
  • pass: Frontmatter block present
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a name
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a description
  • pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (15387 bytes)
  • pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
  • pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
  • pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
  • pass: No credential-shaped string
  • pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
  • pass: No text hidden with inline styles
  • pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
  • pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
  • pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
  • pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
  • pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
  • pass: No link to a raw IP address
  • pass: No script tag

Source

GitHub

hkuds/vibe-trading · 37,923 stars · license MIT · pushed 2026-11-08 · branch main

API

GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_7docbsute54y5g5i
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=hkuds/vibe-trading/risk-analysis
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/dca9b1d1ff7bf0fdb23e246f1e18c592a573a0a700d779ca8738420b92b6b5bd

Your AI assistant does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.

Guides: the SKILL.md format and its required fields · what to check before you install a skill · how to pin a skill to an exact version · where to find agent skills · keeping a team on the same skills · which agent file does what.

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