bond-yield-analysis SKILL.md skillA

bond-yield-analysis from belos-street/stock-analytics-agent is an agent skill: a SKILL.md folder an AI agent loads when a task calls for it.

Install it, pinned
mdr add belos-street/stock-analytics-agent/bond-yield-analysis@git:20261021.133778e

Pins git:20261021.133778e in mdr.lock. Pin the fingerprint instead.

Audit grade
A, 17 of 17 checks passed
Kind
SKILL.md skill
Repository
belos-street/stock-analytics-agent
Path
.agents/skills/bond-yield-analysis/SKILL.md
Versions recorded
2
Latest version
git:20261021.133778e, committed Oct 21, 2026
First version recorded
May 11, 2026
Size
12,073 bytes
Repository stars
56
License
MIT

系统化债券市场利率走势分析框架,支持交易/策略/配置三种视角,生成利率走势判断与债券交易/配置策略。Invoke when user asks about bond market analysis, interest rate trends, or fixed income allocation.

Collected from public GitHub. Every version is saved exactly as it was and never changes. Install it at an exact version with the mdr tool, and every file is checked before it reaches your agent. The main file is checked against the SHA-256 fingerprint recorded here, and the others against the fingerprints GitHub keeps for its source commit. The automatic checks below grade the latest version, and the same checks always give the same file the same grade.

What the file says

# 基债券利率走势研判

## 技能核心定位

### 核心目标
系统化债券市场利率走势分析框架,支持交易(1-2周)、策略(1-6个月)、配置(6个月-2年)三种投资视角自适应切换,覆盖宏观基本面、流动性、供需、曲线结构、技术情绪五大维度,结合量化评分与压力测试,生成利率走势判断与债券交易/配置策略。

### 目标用户
- **债券投资者**:判断利率走势和债券配置
- **交易员**:寻找短期交易机会
- **策略分析师**:制定中期债券策略
- **配置型投资者**:长期债券配置
- **财富顾问**:客户债券配置建议

### 技能边界

**可提供服务**:
- 利率走势判断
- 债券配置建议
- 曲线形态分析
- 久期策略建议
- 利差策略分析
- 量化评分输出

**不可提供服务**:
- 具体买卖指令
- 承诺收益
- 预测利率精确点位
- 内幕信息

---

## 分析框架

### 一、宏观基本面分析

#### 经济周期定位
```
1. 增长周期
   - GDP增速趋势
   - PMI荣枯线
   - 工业增加值
   - 固定资产投资

2. 通胀周期
   - CPI同比
   - PPI同比
   - 核心CPI
   - 通胀预期

3. 周期定位矩阵
| 经济/通胀 | 低通胀 | 高通胀 |
|----------|-------|-------|
| 复苏 | 宽松 | 收益率上行 |
| 扩张 | 紧缩 | 收益率上行 |
| 衰退 | 宽松 | 收益率下行 |
| 滞胀 | 紧缩 | 收益率震荡 |
```

#### 宏观指标评分
```
指标权重:
- GDP产出缺口:25%
- CPI偏离目标:20%
- 就业数据:15%
- 社融增速:20%
- 出口增速:10%
- 其他:10%

评分标准:
- 利好债券:+1分
- 中性:0分
- 利空债券:-1分
```

### 二、货币政策分析

#### 货币政策框架
```
目标:
- 稳增长
- 控通胀
- 防风险
- 促就业

工具:
- 公开市场操作
- MLF/LPR利率
- 存款准备金率
- 结构性货币政策

传导机制:
- 政策利率 → 市场利率
- 流动性 → 债券收益率
```

#### 货币政策前瞻
```
关注信号:
1. 央行表态(鹰/鸽)
2. 政策例会纪要
3. 流动性投放
4. 监管态度

前瞻判断:
- 宽松周期:债券多头
- 紧缩周期:债券空头
- 中性周期:区间操作
```

### 三、流动性分析

#### 银行间流动性
```
核心指标:
- 资金利率(DR007/R007)
- 央行公开市场操作
- 缴准因素
- 财政存款

流动性评估(对照 DR007 **自身**历史区间,不设一刀切绝对线):
…

Read the whole file at its exact version.

How to install

The exact contents, by fingerprint
mdr add belos-street/stock-analytics-agent/bond-yield-analysis@sha256:c2b6f3b3d4b4afec

The line at the top of this page pins the label git:20261021.133778e, which is what most people want. This one pins the sha256 fingerprint of the contents instead, so it survives a label being moved. Either way the exact version is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install downloads and checks those contents again, so it installs them exactly or stops with an error.

Badge

mdr badge

[![mdr](https://markdownregistry.com/badge/art_a5bts3u44vmkcqxn.svg)](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_a5bts3u44vmkcqxn)

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Versions

The registry has recorded 2 versions of this file, between May 11, 2026 and Oct 21, 2026, about one every 163 days.

versioncommittedcommitsizeaudit
git:20261021.133778e latest2026-10-21 133778e 12,073 BA view · diff
git:20260511.ff2dbc02026-05-11 ff2dbc0 9,476 BA view

Audit of the latest version

A  17 of 17 checks passed. Fixed automatic checks with no AI involved, so the same checks give the same answer every run.
  • pass: Frontmatter block present
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a name
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a description
  • pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (12073 bytes)
  • pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
  • pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
  • pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
  • pass: No credential-shaped string
  • pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
  • pass: No text hidden with inline styles
  • pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
  • pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
  • pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
  • pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
  • pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
  • pass: No link to a raw IP address
  • pass: No script tag

Source

GitHub

belos-street/stock-analytics-agent · 56 stars · license MIT · pushed 2026-10-21 · branch main

API

GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_a5bts3u44vmkcqxn
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=belos-street/stock-analytics-agent/bond-yield-analysis
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/c2b6f3b3d4b4afec9705f42856cc0ad5f07628b3001b31f4895fc4a81bd81d17

Your AI assistant does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.

Guides: the SKILL.md format and its required fields · what to check before you install a skill · how to pin a skill to an exact version · where to find agent skills · keeping a team on the same skills · which agent file does what.

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