hypothesis-management SKILL.md skillA
hypothesis-management from rlaope/ultraprompt is an agent skill: a SKILL.md folder an AI agent loads when a task calls for it.
mdr add rlaope/ultraprompt/hypothesis-management@git:20260915.a5ced99Pins git:20260915.a5ced99 in mdr.lock. Pin the fingerprint instead.
- Audit grade
- A, 17 of 17 checks passed
- Kind
- SKILL.md skill
- Repository
- rlaope/ultraprompt
- Path
skills/hypothesis-management/SKILL.md- Versions recorded
- 2
- Latest version
- git:20260915.a5ced99, committed Sep 15, 2026
- First version recorded
- Jul 5, 2026
- Size
- 11,330 bytes
- Repository stars
- 35
- License
- MIT
Debug by maintaining 2-4 competing hypotheses with explicit evidence and kill criteria, choosing each probe to maximally discriminate between them instead of confirming a favorite.
Collected from public GitHub. Every version is saved exactly as it was and never changes. Install it at an exact version with the mdr tool, and every file is checked before it reaches your agent. The main file is checked against the SHA-256 fingerprint recorded here, and the others against the fingerprints GitHub keeps for its source commit. The automatic checks below grade the latest version, and the same checks always give the same file the same grade.
What the file says
# Hypothesis Management
> Status: v0.1 baseline draft — derived from the case catalog and axis definitions; awaiting trace evidence from Fable 5.1 case runs.
## When to apply
- A bug's cause is not obvious after the first read of the failing code path.
- The symptom admits more than one plausible mechanism (timing, data, config, environment, logic).
- The bug is intermittent, load-dependent, or only reproduces in one environment.
- A previous "fix" appeared to work, then the symptom returned or mutated.
- You notice yourself repeatedly probing the same suspect without decisive results.
- The failure is silent or indirect: wrong output, slow convergence, resource leak — anything where the crash site is far from the cause.
## Core loop
1. **State the symptom precisely.** One sentence, observable facts only: what happens, under what input/load/environment, how often. No causal language yet ("connection pool exhausted" is a hypothesis, "requests time out after ~30s under >50 concurrent users" is a symptom).
…Read the whole file at its exact version.
How to install
mdr add rlaope/ultraprompt/hypothesis-management@sha256:648ead44c6e0d02dThe line at the top of this page pins the label git:20260915.a5ced99, which is what most people want. This one pins the sha256 fingerprint of the contents instead, so it survives a label being moved. Either way the exact version is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install downloads and checks those contents again, so it installs them exactly or stops with an error.
[](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_bagyw67sm7tno6wu)
2 badge image fetches in 30 days. What the badge shows.
Versions
The registry has recorded 2 versions of this file, between Jul 5, 2026 and Sep 15, 2026, about one every 72 days.
| version | committed | commit | size | audit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| git:20260915.a5ced99 latest | 2026-09-15 | a5ced99 | 11,330 B | A | view · diff |
| git:20260705.c12b4fc | 2026-07-05 | c12b4fc | 11,328 B | A | view |
Audit of the latest version
- pass: Frontmatter block present
- pass: Frontmatter declares a name
- pass: Frontmatter declares a description
- pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (11330 bytes)
- pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
- pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
- pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
- pass: No credential-shaped string
- pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
- pass: No text hidden with inline styles
- pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
- pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
- pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
- pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
- pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
- pass: No link to a raw IP address
- pass: No script tag
Source
rlaope/ultraprompt · 35 stars · license MIT · pushed 2026-10-28 · branch main
API
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_bagyw67sm7tno6wu GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=rlaope/ultraprompt/hypothesis-management GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/648ead44c6e0d02db9d411c4ab60af8a63f45f999851d055066773bbe648bc3a
Your AI assistant does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.
Guides: the SKILL.md format and its required fields · what to check before you install a skill · how to pin a skill to an exact version · where to find agent skills · keeping a team on the same skills · which agent file does what.