Home / weaxs / stock-analysis-plugin · skills/expectation-repricing/SKILL.md · GitHub

expectation-repricing skillA

expectation-repricing is agent-read markdown (skill) from weaxs/stock-analysis-plugin: 预期重估分析:比较市场预期与可验证事实,判断正负预期差、定价程度和重估失效条件。.

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What the file says

# 预期重估分析

## 输入数据说明

先运行:

```bash
python3 scripts/gather.py <symbol>
```

gather 工具返回:
- `quote` — 实时行情(PE/PB/市值)
- `kline` — 60 日 K 线数据
- `technical` — 技术指标(趋势确认)
- `financials` — 财务数据(ROE/利润率/增速)
- `news` — 近期新闻(预期变化线索)
- `stock_info` — 公司基本信息
- `sector_rankings` — 板块排名

一致预期、管理层指引、历史估值分位、自由现金流和同业估值不在 gather 的固定返回中。没有可引用的外部证据时,标为“未验证”,不给出重估幅度。

## 分析框架(4 步法)

### 1. 预期来源识别

定位当前市场一致预期的来源:
- **业绩指引**:公司管理层给出的增长指引
- **分析师预期**:券商研报一致盈利预测
- **订单/数据**:行业高频数据、月度销售
- **政策变化**:新政策改变行业增长逻辑
- **产业趋势**:技术突破、渗透率拐点

### 2. 预期差方向判断

- **正向预期差**:实际将好于市场预期(利好未被充分定价)
- **负向预期差**:实际将差于市场预期(风险未被充分定价)
- **已充分反映**:当前股价已合理反映预期

### 3. 估值重估评估

结合基本面判断重估空间:
- PE/PB 当前分位 vs 行业/历史均值
- ROE 变化趋势(是否支撑更高估值)
- 自由现金流(估值的锚)
- 同业对比(估值折价/溢价是否合理)

### 4. 价格确认

技术面验证预期差逻辑:
- 趋势方向是否与预期差一致
- 放量突破 = 市场开始认同新预期
- 缩量回调 = 市场尚未形成共识

## 评分调整规则

基准分 50,根据以下条件调整:
- 正向预期差且未反映在股价中:+15
- 多个独立信号共同指向同一方向:+8
- 估值仍有安全边际(PE/PB < 历史中位数):+6
- 连续上涨已消化正向预期差:-5
- 预期差方向不明确/证据不足:-8
- 核心逻辑被证伪(数据反转):-15

## 输出格式

1. 预期差摘要(一句话描述核心发现)
2. 预期来源与偏差方向
3. 估值重估空间量化
4. 综合评分(0-100)及理由
5. 交易建议与失效条件

完成标准:每个预期差结论都对应一项可验证的市场预期和一项实际数据;任一侧缺失时,结论降级为待验证假设。

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How to install

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Source

GitHub

weaxs/stock-analysis-plugin · 24 stars · license none · pushed 2026-09-23 · branch main

API

GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_bhp7r2jtptusvljs
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=weaxs/stock-analysis-plugin/expectation-repricing
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/73bcaa276234443a87712751ea5f3659c93d119d9cad24523106bfe9da6feeb8

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