commercial-forecaster SKILL.md skillA
commercial-forecaster from alirezarezvani/claude-skills is an agent skill: a SKILL.md folder an AI agent loads when a task calls for it.
mdr add alirezarezvani/claude-skills/commercial-forecaster@v2.8.0Pins v2.8.0 in mdr.lock. Pin the fingerprint instead.
- Audit grade
- A, 17 of 17 checks passed
- Kind
- SKILL.md skill
- Repository
- alirezarezvani/claude-skills
- Path
commercial/skills/commercial-forecaster/SKILL.md- Versions recorded
- 4
- Latest version
- v2.8.0, committed Oct 30, 2026
- First version recorded
- May 19, 2026
- Size
- 11,584 bytes
- Repository stars
- 29,490
- License
- MIT
Use when building a bookings, ARR, pipeline or NRR forecast, or a commit, best-case and pipeline board number. Forecasts with bookings_forecaster.py, projects cohorts with cohort_arr_projector.py and scores stage confidence with funnel_confidence_scorer.py, showing every conversion assumption.
Collected from public GitHub. Every version is saved exactly as it was and never changes. Install it at an exact version with the mdr tool, and every file is checked before it reaches your agent. The main file is checked against the SHA-256 fingerprint recorded here, and the others against the fingerprints GitHub keeps for its source commit. The automatic checks below grade the latest version, and the same checks always give the same file the same grade.
What the file says
# commercial-forecaster ## Purpose Help Commercial leaders answer three questions at the forecast moment: 1. **What's the commit / best-case / pipe-only number?** (3-tier bookings forecast with disclosed assumptions) 2. **Which cohorts are leaking, and is the consolidated NRR hiding the leak?** (per-cohort NRR/GRR projection over horizon) 3. **Which funnel stages are reliable, and which are statistical noise?** (per-stage coefficient-of-variation confidence band) The skill recommends **three forecast numbers + an explicit assumption block**. The CRO presents the number, the board sees the assumptions, the theatre dies. ## When to use - Building the quarterly bookings forecast for the board - Preparing the QBR forecast where the CFO will ask "what's the commit, what's the best-case, what's the pipe-only" - Projecting ARR for next 4-8 quarters using cohort retention data - Suspecting a consolidated NRR number is hiding a leaky recent cohort - Pipeline-coverage is shrinking and you need to know which stages are still trustworthy - You're being asked for a "single number" and you need the structured answer that surfaces the assumption **Do not use for:** …
Read the whole file at its exact version.
How to install
mdr add alirezarezvani/claude-skills/commercial-forecaster@sha256:7f5c6d47a1eaf79eThe line at the top of this page pins the label v2.8.0, which is what most people want. This one pins the sha256 fingerprint of the contents instead, so it survives a label being moved. Either way the exact version is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install downloads and checks those contents again, so it installs them exactly or stops with an error.
[](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_ghjt65sw5uwtpcl5)
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Versions
The registry has recorded 4 versions of this file, between May 19, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, about one every 55 days.
| version | committed | commit | size | audit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| v2.8.0 latest | 2026-10-30 | b078bb8 | 11,584 B | A | view · diff |
| v2.8.0 | 2026-10-21 | 22e683b | 12,234 B | A | view · diff |
| v2.8.0 | 2026-10-21 | 74fa5ea | 12,234 B | A | view · diff |
| v2.8.0 | 2026-05-19 | 8fd073c | 12,216 B | A | view |
Audit of the latest version
- pass: Frontmatter block present
- pass: Frontmatter declares a name
- pass: Frontmatter declares a description
- pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (11584 bytes)
- pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
- pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
- pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
- pass: No credential-shaped string
- pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
- pass: No text hidden with inline styles
- pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
- pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
- pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
- pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
- pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
- pass: No link to a raw IP address
- pass: No script tag
Source
alirezarezvani/claude-skills · 29,490 stars · license MIT · pushed 2026-11-05 · branch main
API
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_ghjt65sw5uwtpcl5 GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=alirezarezvani/claude-skills/commercial-forecaster GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/7f5c6d47a1eaf79e578f280b8242ec87ef1c6bb8d20bef0caef9dcc7ff1f4b94
Your AI assistant does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.
Guides: the SKILL.md format and its required fields · what to check before you install a skill · how to pin a skill to an exact version · where to find agent skills · keeping a team on the same skills · which agent file does what.
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