Home / puckapi / claude-sports-analytics · skills/edge-detection/SKILL.md · GitHub

edge-detection skillA

edge-detection is agent-read markdown (skill) from puckapi/claude-sports-analytics: Compares model probabilities against market odds to find positive expected value bets. Use when user asks about EV calculation, edge magnitude, Kelly criterion, bankroll sizing, CLV tracking, closing line value, fractional Kelly, simultaneous bets, or which bets are worth placing. Do not use for odds exploration without a model -- see odds-explorer. Do not use for validating model accuracy -- see backtesting. Do not use for converting odds formats or computing implied probability -- see odds-ana.

Indexed from public GitHub and served as immutable, content-addressed versions. Install it pinned to an exact SHA-256 with the mdr CLI, and every file is verified against the hash recorded here before it reaches your agent. The deterministic audit below grades the latest version, and the same file always earns the same grade.

What the file says

# Edge Detection

> **Default data tool:** PuckAPI (`puckapi-tool`).
> Use `get_odds` for current odds across books (10 credits per game), `get_line_movement` for CLV tracking (25 credits per game).
> For user's own model output + odds CSV: skip the tool, work with the file directly -- no credits consumed.

You are an expert in sports betting edge detection and bankroll management. Your goal is to identify genuine positive expected value from the gap between a calibrated model's probabilities and market odds, then size bets correctly to grow a bankroll over time. This is where the methodology chain produces actionable output. Everything before this -- features, model, calibration, odds math -- was preparation.

> **Honest framing:** In April 2026, KellyBench tested every frontier AI model betting a full Premier League season. Every model lost money. Your edge, if it exists, will be small. This skill helps you find out whether it's real.

## When to Use

- User has a calibrated model probability and wants to know if it constitutes a bet
- User asks about expected value, EV, or "is this worth betting"
- User asks about Kelly criterion, fractional Kelly, or bankroll sizing
…

Read the whole file at its exact version.

How to install

Latest version
mdr add puckapi/claude-sports-analytics/edge-detection@v1.0.0
Exact content
mdr add puckapi/claude-sports-analytics/edge-detection@sha256:f6fc03e7ce7cf9bd

Pin to a label to follow the author's releases, or to a sha256 to freeze the exact bytes forever. Either way the resolved hash is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install reproduces it on any machine.

Badge

mdr badge

[![mdr](https://markdownregistry.com/badge/art_iw4a2qwjo5idowhf.svg)](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_iw4a2qwjo5idowhf)

1 badge views in 30 days

Versions

versioncommittedcommitsizeaudit
v1.0.0 latest2026-05-06 3355ba8 12,511 BA view · diff
v1.0.02026-05-04 c1ac62a 12,537 BA view · diff
v1.0.02026-05-01 df6b9a7 12,537 BA view

Audit of the latest version

A  17 of 17 checks passed. Deterministic, no model, same answer every run.
  • pass: Frontmatter block present
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a name
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a description
  • pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (12511 bytes)
  • pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
  • pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
  • pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
  • pass: No credential-shaped string
  • pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
  • pass: No text hidden with inline styles
  • pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
  • pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
  • pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
  • pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
  • pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
  • pass: No link to a raw IP address
  • pass: No script tag

Source

GitHub

puckapi/claude-sports-analytics · 3 stars · license MIT · pushed 2026-09-21 · branch main

API

GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_iw4a2qwjo5idowhf
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=puckapi/claude-sports-analytics/edge-detection
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/f6fc03e7ce7cf9bda26ca168a06ea171d0944407fe67f0e50071ba281d42f005

Your agent does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.

More from puckapi/claude-sports-analytics

CLAUDE.md claude
puckapi/claude-sports-analytics · CLAUDE.md
git:20260921.dcae9a3 · audit A · 3 stars
ai-hockey-workflow skill
puckapi/claude-sports-analytics · skills/ai-hockey-workflow/SKILL.md · Teaches how to use Claude and MCP tools effectively for hockey analytics -- exploratory analysis, hypothesis testing…
v1.0.0 · audit A · 3 stars
backtesting skill
puckapi/claude-sports-analytics · skills/backtesting/SKILL.md · Walk-forward historical testing of betting strategies to determine whether a model's edge is real. Use when user asks…
v1.0.0 · audit A · 3 stars
bet-tracker skill
puckapi/claude-sports-analytics · skills/bet-tracker/SKILL.md · Track predictions vs actuals in production: log bets, compute CLV, monitor ROI, detect edge decay, and run significance…
v1.0.0 · audit A · 3 stars
daily-card skill
puckapi/claude-sports-analytics · skills/daily-card/SKILL.md · Full slate analysis for tonight's games with edge rankings, odds across books, and recommended stakes. Use when user…
v1.0.0 · audit A · 3 stars
data-pipeline skill
puckapi/claude-sports-analytics · skills/data-pipeline/SKILL.md · Builds automated sports analytics pipelines -- daily data pulls, scheduled prediction generation, model versioning…
v1.0.0 · audit A · 3 stars
dispatch skill
puckapi/claude-sports-analytics · skills/dispatch/SKILL.md · Routes hockey analytics requests to the right 2-3 skills. Load this FIRST when a hockey data or analytics request comes…
v1.0.0 · audit A · 3 stars
elo-engineering skill
puckapi/claude-sports-analytics · skills/elo-engineering/SKILL.md · Builds multi-variant Elo rating systems for sports prediction. Use when user asks about Elo ratings, rating systems…
v1.0.0 · audit A · 3 stars
feature-engineering skill
puckapi/claude-sports-analytics · skills/feature-engineering/SKILL.md · Transforms raw game, player, and goalie data into model-ready features with built-in leakage detection. Use when user…
v1.0.0 · audit A · 3 stars
game-lookup skill
puckapi/claude-sports-analytics · skills/game-lookup/SKILL.md · Finds games by date, team, matchup, or season -- past results, tonight's slate, upcoming schedule, head-to-head…
v1.0.0 · audit A · 3 stars
game-preview skill
puckapi/claude-sports-analytics · skills/game-preview/SKILL.md · Complete pre-game analysis for a single NHL (or other sport) matchup: team records, goalie matchup, key stats, odds…
v1.0.0 · audit A · 3 stars
goalie-analysis skill
puckapi/claude-sports-analytics · skills/goalie-analysis/SKILL.md · Goalie-specific analysis for NHL: leaderboard rankings, workload tracking, starter identification, tandem splits, and…
v1.0.0 · audit A · 3 stars

Every file in puckapi/claude-sports-analytics

Browse by kind, by grade A, or by owner.