news-reaction-failure-analyzer SKILL.md skillA
news-reaction-failure-analyzer from tradermonty/claude-trading-skills is an agent skill: a SKILL.md folder an AI agent loads when a task calls for it.
mdr add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/news-reaction-failure-analyzer@git:20260713.51a9331Pins git:20260713.51a9331 in mdr.lock. Pin the fingerprint instead.
- Audit grade
- A, 17 of 17 checks passed
- Kind
- SKILL.md skill
- Repository
- tradermonty/claude-trading-skills
- Path
skills/news-reaction-failure-analyzer/SKILL.md- Versions recorded
- 2
- Latest version
- git:20260713.51a9331, committed Jul 13, 2026
- First version recorded
- Jul 13, 2026
- Size
- 9,474 bytes
- Repository stars
- 3,682
- License
- MIT
Judge whether a market FAILED to react to news favorable to a crowded speculative position — step 2 of Jason Shapiro's COT contrarian process. Consumes a cot-contrarian-detector report (or an explicit direction) plus a Claude-curated events JSON, fetches the underlying price series with a documented fallback chain, and produces a fail-closed CONFIRMED / NOT_CONFIRMED / INSUFFICIENT_EVIDENCE verdict using a statistically validated drift-significance test…
Collected from public GitHub. Every version is saved exactly as it was and never changes. Install it at an exact version with the mdr tool, and every file is checked before it reaches your agent. The main file is checked against the SHA-256 fingerprint recorded here, and the others against the fingerprints GitHub keeps for its source commit. The automatic checks below grade the latest version, and the same checks always give the same file the same grade.
What the file says
# News Reaction Failure Analyzer ## Overview Implements step 2 of Jason Shapiro's COT contrarian process: once a market is flagged as crowded (`cot-contrarian-detector`, step 1), check whether it FAILED to react to news that should have rewarded the crowd. A crowded-long market that doesn't rally on genuinely bullish news, or a crowded-short market that doesn't sell off on genuinely bearish news, is the core behavioral tell that the crowd has run out of buying/selling power — this is the confirmation step that turns "crowded" into a contrarian setup candidate (steps 3-5, still manual: price-action confirmation, entry, exit). **Why this isn't a naive failure-ratio check:** an earlier design flagged "news failure" whenever fewer than half the relevant events "responded" — but under pure noise, roughly 69% of individual events fail to respond by chance, so that rule would CONFIRM on random noise 48-83% of the time depending on sample size. This skill instead requires the market to have moved *significantly against* the crowd's favorable news (a drift- significance test with a Monte-Carlo-verified null false-positive bound), never merely "didn't respond enough." See …
Read the whole file at its exact version.
How to install
mdr add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/news-reaction-failure-analyzer@sha256:c1059fe863db786fThe line at the top of this page pins the label git:20260713.51a9331, which is what most people want. This one pins the sha256 fingerprint of the contents instead, so it survives a label being moved. Either way the exact version is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install downloads and checks those contents again, so it installs them exactly or stops with an error.
[](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_soted57qjkykpfm6)
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Versions
The registry has recorded 2 versions of this file, all committed on Jul 13, 2026.
| version | committed | commit | size | audit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| git:20260713.51a9331 latest | 2026-07-13 | 51a9331 | 9,474 B | A | view · diff |
| git:20260713.2edcc9d | 2026-07-13 | 2edcc9d | 9,343 B | A | view |
Audit of the latest version
- pass: Frontmatter block present
- pass: Frontmatter declares a name
- pass: Frontmatter declares a description
- pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (9474 bytes)
- pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
- pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
- pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
- pass: No credential-shaped string
- pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
- pass: No text hidden with inline styles
- pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
- pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
- pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
- pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
- pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
- pass: No link to a raw IP address
- pass: No script tag
Source
tradermonty/claude-trading-skills · 3,682 stars · license MIT · pushed 2026-11-07 · branch main
API
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_soted57qjkykpfm6 GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/news-reaction-failure-analyzer GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/c1059fe863db786fa1ecb7eac952309a6256cd4c9e443655da0da462acdaee3b
Your AI assistant does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.
Guides: the SKILL.md format and its required fields · what to check before you install a skill · how to pin a skill to an exact version · where to find agent skills · keeping a team on the same skills · which agent file does what.