deciding-with-confidence SKILL.md skillA
This file is byte-identical to the first copy the registry indexed, one of 3 indexed copies. Same content hash, so the same checks give both the same grade.
deciding-with-confidence from oaustegard/claude-skills is an agent skill: a SKILL.md folder an AI agent loads when a task calls for it.
mdr add oaustegard/claude-skills/deciding-with-confidence@v0.1.1Pins v0.1.1 in mdr.lock. Pin the fingerprint instead.
- Audit grade
- A, 17 of 17 checks passed
- Kind
- SKILL.md skill
- Repository
- oaustegard/claude-skills
- Path
plugins/ai-and-reasoning/skills/deciding-with-confidence/SKILL.md- Versions recorded
- 2
- Latest version
- v0.1.1, committed Oct 9, 2026
- First version recorded
- Oct 9, 2026
- Size
- 10,382 bytes
- Repository stars
- 158
- License
- MIT
Routes, triages, flags and rates a piece of text with a probability for every option: which department or queue a ticket goes to, which intent a message expresses, whether a yes/no condition holds (is this tool call grounded, should the agent ask first, is the customer angry), and how severe or urgent it is on a rubric, each with a calibrated confidence. Runs Claude Haiku in the request and response shapes of OpenAI's Decisions API, for when no purpose-built decision model is at hand. Use for…
Collected from public GitHub. Every version is saved exactly as it was and never changes. Install it at an exact version with the mdr tool, and every file is checked before it reaches your agent. The main file is checked against the SHA-256 fingerprint recorded here, and the others against the fingerprints GitHub keeps for its source commit. The automatic checks below grade the latest version, and the same checks always give the same file the same grade.
What the file says
# Deciding with confidence `scripts/decide.py` takes an OpenAI Decisions API request (`input` plus `questions` of type `predicate`, `choice` or `score`) and returns its response shape: a probability per option, the chosen value or score, and `confidence`. Claude Haiku 5.5 answers. Its logits are not exposed, so the distribution is estimated: each of k parallel samples states a probability per option with the options in a different order, the samples are averaged, and the average is temperature-scaled from a labelled eval. Disagreement between samples lowers `confidence` and shows up in `diagnostics.agreement`. Expect about 85% of what a purpose-built decision model gets: on the bundled 104-item eval, accuracy 0.846 against Jev's 0.894, with a calibration error (ECE 0.041) that matches it. The whole accuracy gap was on eight-way intent questions; yes/no and rubric questions tied. Disagreement between samples is the strongest warning sign. `references/method.md` has the numbers. ## When NOT to use this skill | Situation | Use instead | |---|---| | The label set is too large to list in a prompt (a taxonomy, hundreds of tags) | `hallucinating-labels` | …
Read the whole file at its exact version.
How to install
mdr add oaustegard/claude-skills/deciding-with-confidence@sha256:67ed28b0202233dfThe line at the top of this page pins the label v0.1.1, which is what most people want. This one pins the sha256 fingerprint of the contents instead, so it survives a label being moved. Either way the exact version is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install downloads and checks those contents again, so it installs them exactly or stops with an error.
[](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_uv3bwor27ydsqt2q)
3 badge image fetches in 30 days. What the badge shows.
Versions
The registry has recorded 2 versions of this file, all committed on Oct 9, 2026.
| version | committed | commit | size | audit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| v0.1.1 latest | 2026-10-09 | f9836f8 | 10,382 B | A | view · diff |
| v0.1.0 | 2026-10-09 | 911d58f | 10,153 B | A | view |
Audit of the latest version
- pass: Frontmatter block present
- pass: Frontmatter declares a name
- pass: Frontmatter declares a description
- pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (10382 bytes)
- pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
- pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
- pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
- pass: No credential-shaped string
- pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
- pass: No text hidden with inline styles
- pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
- pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
- pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
- pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
- pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
- pass: No link to a raw IP address
- pass: No script tag
Source
oaustegard/claude-skills · 158 stars · license MIT · pushed 2026-11-07 · branch main
API
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_uv3bwor27ydsqt2q GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=oaustegard/claude-skills/deciding-with-confidence GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/67ed28b0202233df08b3e66309a49c7919aa721691a3cc0909b50b35993e4747
Your AI assistant does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.
Guides: the SKILL.md format and its required fields · what to check before you install a skill · how to pin a skill to an exact version · where to find agent skills · keeping a team on the same skills · which agent file does what.
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