ensemble-signal-combination-without-overfitting SKILL.md skillA

ensemble-signal-combination-without-overfitting from himanshuj16/algo-trading-skills is an agent skill: a SKILL.md folder an AI agent loads when a task calls for it.

Install it, pinned
mdr add himanshuj16/algo-trading-skills/ensemble-signal-combination-without-overfitting@v2.0.0

Pins v2.0.0 in mdr.lock. Pin the fingerprint instead.

Audit grade
A, 17 of 17 checks passed
Kind
SKILL.md skill
Repository
himanshuj16/algo-trading-skills
Path
skills/ensemble-signal-combination-without-overfitting/SKILL.md
Versions recorded
5
Latest version
v2.0.0, committed Sep 3, 2026
First version recorded
Jul 24, 2026
Size
8,314 bytes
Repository stars
50
License
Apache-2.0

Use when combining several alpha signals or sub-models into one score and unconstrained regression would produce extreme offsetting weights; causal normalisation, non-negative weights, 1/N shrinkage and inverse forecast-error-variance weighting.

Collected from public GitHub. Every version is saved exactly as it was and never changes. Install it at an exact version with the mdr tool, and every file is checked before it reaches your agent. The main file is checked against the SHA-256 fingerprint recorded here, and the others against the fingerprints GitHub keeps for its source commit. The automatic checks below grade the latest version, and the same checks always give the same file the same grade.

What the file says

## When to Use

Invoke this whenever combining alpha signals from multiple sub-models (such as momentum, mean-reversion, order-flow imbalance, and sentiment indicators). Unconstrained optimization (such as standard OLS regression) creates extreme positive and negative weights that overfit to historical noise and produce catastrophic out-of-sample losses. Signal $Z$-score normalization, Non-Negative Least Squares (NNLS) weight constraints ($w_i \ge 0$), and shrinkage toward equal weighting ($1/N$) are what keep the combined signal stable out of sample.

## When NOT to Use

- **Fewer than three sub-models.** With $N \le 2$ a $0.40$ weight cap is infeasible (no vector summing to $1$ can keep every weight below $1/N$), so the cap collapses the result to equal weighting. Use `EQUAL_WEIGHT` explicitly instead of pretending to optimize.
- **Short history.** Fitting $N$ weights needs more than $N$ observations, and in practice far more. Run `EQUAL_WEIGHT` until enough history accumulates rather than fitting on a handful of bars.
…

Read the whole file at its exact version.

How to install

The exact contents, by fingerprint
mdr add himanshuj16/algo-trading-skills/ensemble-signal-combination-without-overfitting@sha256:8b2396c6451eee90

The line at the top of this page pins the label v2.0.0, which is what most people want. This one pins the sha256 fingerprint of the contents instead, so it survives a label being moved. Either way the exact version is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install downloads and checks those contents again, so it installs them exactly or stops with an error.

Badge

mdr badge

[![mdr](https://markdownregistry.com/badge/art_v7ogzif2yi64ylvb.svg)](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_v7ogzif2yi64ylvb)

3 badge image fetches in 30 days. What the badge shows.

Versions

The registry has recorded 5 versions of this file, between Jul 24, 2026 and Sep 3, 2026, about one every 10 days.

versioncommittedcommitsizeaudit
v2.0.0 latest2026-09-03 8527a51 8,314 BA view · diff
v2.0.02026-08-25 7e72405 8,303 BA view · diff
v1.0.02026-08-07 89d1436 3,666 BA view · diff
v1.02026-07-30 dfc60c7 3,664 BA view · diff
v1.02026-07-24 4c03631 3,676 BA view

Audit of the latest version

A  17 of 17 checks passed. Fixed automatic checks with no AI involved, so the same checks give the same answer every run.
  • pass: Frontmatter block present
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a name
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a description
  • pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (8314 bytes)
  • pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
  • pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
  • pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
  • pass: No credential-shaped string
  • pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
  • pass: No text hidden with inline styles
  • pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
  • pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
  • pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
  • pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
  • pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
  • pass: No link to a raw IP address
  • pass: No script tag

Source

GitHub

himanshuj16/algo-trading-skills · 50 stars · license Apache-2.0 · pushed 2026-09-14 · branch main

API

GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_v7ogzif2yi64ylvb
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=himanshuj16/algo-trading-skills/ensemble-signal-combination-without-overfitting
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/8b2396c6451eee90477e6396b9f8af00711a0f3e0c6f8b3b1f3deb24396de6e1

Your AI assistant does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.

Guides: the SKILL.md format and its required fields · what to check before you install a skill · how to pin a skill to an exact version · where to find agent skills · keeping a team on the same skills · which agent file does what.

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