estimation SKILL.md skillA

estimation from cdeust/zetetic-team-subagents is an agent skill: a SKILL.md folder an AI agent loads when a task calls for it.

Install it, pinned
mdr add cdeust/zetetic-team-subagents/estimation@git:20261021.4372ea9

Pins git:20261021.4372ea9 in mdr.lock. Pin the fingerprint instead.

Audit grade
A, 17 of 17 checks passed
Kind
SKILL.md skill
Repository
cdeust/zetetic-team-subagents
Path
skills/estimation/SKILL.md
Versions recorded
3
Latest version
git:20261021.4372ea9, committed Oct 21, 2026
First version recorded
Jul 22, 2026
Size
2,550 bytes
Repository stars
8
License
MIT

Bound it before you build it. Use when a decision is blocked by "we don't have data", an estimate looks suspiciously precise, someone asks "is this even feasible?", "how much capacity do we need?", "will this scale?", or a claimed number has never been cross-checked by a second method.

Collected from public GitHub. Every version is saved exactly as it was and never changes. Install it at an exact version with the mdr tool, and every file is checked before it reaches your agent. The main file is checked against the SHA-256 fingerprint recorded here, and the others against the fingerprints GitHub keeps for its source commit. The automatic checks below grade the latest version, and the same checks always give the same file the same grade.

What the file says

# Estimation

**Problem shape:** a quantity is needed for a decision, but there is no
measurement — or there is a single number with false precision and no bracket.
The move is order-of-magnitude decomposition, two-sided bounds, and limits
derived before methods are chosen.

## Relevant geniuses

| Agent | Use when |
|---|---|
| [fermi](../../agents/genius/fermi.md) | decision blocked by missing data; single number with no bracket; feasibility check before committing resources; sanity-check a claimed figure |
| [erlang](../../agents/genius/erlang.md) | capacity planning, queue sizing, arrival-vs-service balance, latency exploding near saturation (Little's law audits) |
| [thompson](../../agents/genius/thompson.md) | "will this design survive 10x scale?" — surface-to-volume and allometric scale-break analysis |
| [laplace](../../agents/genius/laplace.md) | priors need eliciting; estimates need updating as evidence arrives; forecaster calibration is unknown |
| [carnot](../../agents/genius/carnot.md) | efficiency claims with no derived theoretical limit; "where is the irreversible loss?" |
…

Read the whole file at its exact version.

How to install

The exact contents, by fingerprint
mdr add cdeust/zetetic-team-subagents/estimation@sha256:96af215bba962a93

The line at the top of this page pins the label git:20261021.4372ea9, which is what most people want. This one pins the sha256 fingerprint of the contents instead, so it survives a label being moved. Either way the exact version is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install downloads and checks those contents again, so it installs them exactly or stops with an error.

Badge

mdr badge

[![mdr](https://markdownregistry.com/badge/art_26g2oj4lcuwewin4.svg)](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_26g2oj4lcuwewin4)

4 badge image fetches in 30 days. What the badge shows.

Versions

The registry has recorded 3 versions of this file, between Jul 22, 2026 and Oct 21, 2026, about one every 46 days.

versioncommittedcommitsizeaudit
git:20261021.4372ea9 latest2026-10-21 4372ea9 2,550 BA view · diff
git:20260805.e8cc65e2026-08-05 e8cc65e 2,489 BA view · diff
git:20260722.b89f9c12026-07-22 b89f9c1 2,468 BA view

Audit of the latest version

A  17 of 17 checks passed. Fixed automatic checks with no AI involved, so the same checks give the same answer every run.
  • pass: Frontmatter block present
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a name
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a description
  • pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (2550 bytes)
  • pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
  • pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
  • pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
  • pass: No credential-shaped string
  • pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
  • pass: No text hidden with inline styles
  • pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
  • pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
  • pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
  • pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
  • pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
  • pass: No link to a raw IP address
  • pass: No script tag

Source

GitHub

cdeust/zetetic-team-subagents · 8 stars · license MIT · pushed 2026-10-22 · branch main

API

GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_26g2oj4lcuwewin4
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=cdeust/zetetic-team-subagents/estimation
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/96af215bba962a936e494ebcb40052b39eb49bf2fe73413f605b54f6e7e26b1e

Your AI assistant does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.

Guides: the SKILL.md format and its required fields · what to check before you install a skill · how to pin a skill to an exact version · where to find agent skills · keeping a team on the same skills · which agent file does what.

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