ml4t-regime-awareness SKILL.md skillA
ml4t-regime-awareness from ml4t/skills is an agent skill: a SKILL.md folder an AI agent loads when a task calls for it.
mdr add ml4t/skills/ml4t-regime-awareness@git:20260901.c415df0Pins git:20260901.c415df0 in mdr.lock. Pin the fingerprint instead.
- Audit grade
- A, 17 of 17 checks passed
- Kind
- SKILL.md skill
- Repository
- ml4t/skills
- Path
concepts/regime-awareness/SKILL.md- Versions recorded
- 2
- Latest version
- git:20260901.c415df0, committed Sep 1, 2026
- First version recorded
- May 28, 2026
- Size
- 4,380 bytes
- Repository stars
- 41
- License
- Apache-2.0
Market regimes as conditioning features for risk scaling, not timing signals. Use when incorporating regime detection into strategy logic.
Collected from public GitHub. Every version is saved exactly as it was and never changes. Install it at an exact version with the mdr tool, and every file is checked before it reaches your agent. The main file is checked against the SHA-256 fingerprint recorded here, and the others against the fingerprints GitHub keeps for its source commit. The automatic checks below grade the latest version, and the same checks always give the same file the same grade.
What the file says
# Regime Awareness
Markets alternate between regimes (low/high volatility, trending/mean-reverting, risk-on/risk-off). Regime detection for diagnostics and risk scaling is reliable. Regime detection for market timing is not.
## The Problem
Regime-switching models promise to predict when to be in or out of the market. In practice, regime transitions are identified with high confidence only after they have already occurred. A model that correctly labels the March 2020 crash as "crisis" does so 2-4 weeks late, after the drawdown has already happened. Trading on regime predictions produces whipsaw losses and underperforms a regime-conditioned but always-invested approach.
The correct use of regimes is as a conditioning feature: scale risk, adjust position sizes, and evaluate strategy performance per regime - but stay invested.
## The Pattern
### WRONG
```python
# Regime-timing: go to cash when model predicts "bear"
def generate_signal(data, regime_model):
regime = regime_model.predict(data)
if regime == "bear":
return 0.0 # exit market entirely
else:
return model.predict(data) # normal signal
```
### CORRECT
```python
import numpy as np
…Read the whole file at its exact version.
How to install
mdr add ml4t/skills/ml4t-regime-awareness@sha256:460a78e9ffab166bThe line at the top of this page pins the label git:20260901.c415df0, which is what most people want. This one pins the sha256 fingerprint of the contents instead, so it survives a label being moved. Either way the exact version is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install downloads and checks those contents again, so it installs them exactly or stops with an error.
[](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_bhg72zwzvce5ilqw)
2 badge image fetches in 30 days. What the badge shows.
Versions
The registry has recorded 2 versions of this file, between May 28, 2026 and Sep 1, 2026, about one every 96 days.
| version | committed | commit | size | audit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| git:20260901.c415df0 latest | 2026-09-01 | c415df0 | 4,380 B | A | view · diff |
| git:20260528.303089e | 2026-05-28 | 303089e | 4,384 B | A | view |
Audit of the latest version
- pass: Frontmatter block present
- pass: Frontmatter declares a name
- pass: Frontmatter declares a description
- pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (4380 bytes)
- pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
- pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
- pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
- pass: No credential-shaped string
- pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
- pass: No text hidden with inline styles
- pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
- pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
- pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
- pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
- pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
- pass: No link to a raw IP address
- pass: No script tag
Source
ml4t/skills · 41 stars · license Apache-2.0 · pushed 2026-11-08 · branch main
API
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_bhg72zwzvce5ilqw GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=ml4t/skills/ml4t-regime-awareness GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/460a78e9ffab166b7a07fc5607056555d3cf259482aaa5d1b7f2201b91ddf8d0
Your AI assistant does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.
Guides: the SKILL.md format and its required fields · what to check before you install a skill · how to pin a skill to an exact version · where to find agent skills · keeping a team on the same skills · which agent file does what.