avatar-charlie-munger-thinking SKILL.md skillA

avatar-charlie-munger-thinking from wind-alice/alicemarket is an agent skill: a SKILL.md folder an AI agent loads when a task calls for it.

Install it, pinned
mdr add wind-alice/alicemarket/avatar-charlie-munger-thinking@git:20260611.942cf60

Pins git:20260611.942cf60 in mdr.lock. Pin the fingerprint instead.

Audit grade
A, 17 of 17 checks passed
Kind
SKILL.md skill
Repository
wind-alice/alicemarket
Path
skills/avatar-charlie-munger-thinking/SKILL.md
Versions recorded
1
Latest version
git:20260611.942cf60, committed Jun 11, 2026
Size
2,326 bytes
Repository stars
148
License
none declared

使用查理·芒格式的逆向思考、激励分析、认知偏误叠加和多学科模型检验复杂决策。用于评估商业与投资判断、组织行为、政策效果、重大选择、全民共识、失败风险,或识别论证中的单一视角和心理盲区。.

Collected from public GitHub. Every version is saved exactly as it was and never changes. Install it at an exact version with the mdr tool, and every file is checked before it reaches your agent. The main file is checked against the SHA-256 fingerprint recorded here, and the others against the fingerprints GitHub keeps for its source commit. The automatic checks below grade the latest version, and the same checks always give the same file the same grade.

What the file says

# 查理·芒格思维框架

把问题当作需要交叉检验的决策,而不是模仿名人语气。使用公开思想形成分析框架,不声称代表查理·芒格本人,也不编造引语。

## 路由模块

根据问题选择一个主模块,必要时再加载一至两个辅助模块:

- 要避免失败、寻找风险触发器或建立禁行清单:读取 `references/inversion.md`
- 要判断建议、机构行为或政策为何如此运作:读取 `references/incentives.md`
- 要分析泡沫、狂热、群体共识或多重偏误叠加:读取 `references/lollapalooza.md`
- 要从心理学、经济学、概率、历史等角度交叉检验:读取 `references/latticework.md`

不要默认加载全部模块。简单问题只使用一个主模块;高影响且多因素的问题才组合分析。

## 综合工作流

1. 用中性语言重述问题,分开事实、解释和目标。
2. 找出利益相关方、激励、代理关系和风险承担者。
3. 逆向列出导致失败的关键路径,并标记最可能的触发器。
4. 检查是否有多个偏误或社会力量同向叠加。
5. 仅在复杂问题中选择三个最相关的学科视角独立检验。
6. 比较各模型的共识与冲突,说明哪个模型在当前情境中优先。
7. 给出判断、决策护栏和需要继续验证的事实。

## 证据纪律

- 不因人物框架而替代事实调查。
- 涉及现实人物、公司、政策或市场时,先核验时效性事实。
- 不把偏误数量当作精确风险评分;数量只用于提醒,关键是机制和证据。
- 信息不足时给出条件式结论,并指出哪些新事实会改变判断。

## 输出协议

按问题规模选择篇幅,优先使用:

1. **结论**
2. **主模型与辅助模型**
3. **激励和失败路径**
4. **关键偏误或跨学科冲突**
5. **行动护栏**
6. **待验证信息**

结论直接但不过度确定。把“永远不做”写成具体、可检查的行为。

Read the whole file at its exact version.

How to install

The exact contents, by fingerprint
mdr add wind-alice/alicemarket/avatar-charlie-munger-thinking@sha256:64dc2c2732baf31b

The line at the top of this page pins the label git:20260611.942cf60, which is what most people want. This one pins the sha256 fingerprint of the contents instead, so it survives a label being moved. Either way the exact version is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install downloads and checks those contents again, so it installs them exactly or stops with an error.

Badge

mdr badge

[![mdr](https://markdownregistry.com/badge/art_e373m2fdko3k2em5.svg)](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_e373m2fdko3k2em5)

3 badge image fetches in 30 days. What the badge shows.

Versions

The registry has recorded 1 version of this file, committed on Jun 11, 2026.

versioncommittedcommitsizeaudit
git:20260611.942cf60 latest2026-06-11 942cf60 2,326 BA view

Audit of the latest version

A  17 of 17 checks passed. Fixed automatic checks with no AI involved, so the same checks give the same answer every run.
  • pass: Frontmatter block present
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a name
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a description
  • pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (2326 bytes)
  • pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
  • pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
  • pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
  • pass: No credential-shaped string
  • pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
  • pass: No text hidden with inline styles
  • pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
  • pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
  • pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
  • pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
  • pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
  • pass: No link to a raw IP address
  • pass: No script tag

Source

GitHub

wind-alice/alicemarket · 148 stars · license none declared · pushed 2026-10-30 · branch main

API

GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_e373m2fdko3k2em5
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=wind-alice/alicemarket/avatar-charlie-munger-thinking
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/64dc2c2732baf31bb541148343c074e5eac46741c076f6ada861334d732124a5

Your AI assistant does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.

Guides: the SKILL.md format and its required fields · what to check before you install a skill · how to pin a skill to an exact version · where to find agent skills · keeping a team on the same skills · which agent file does what.

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