Home / tradermonty / claude-trading-skills · skills/us-market-bubble-detector/SKILL.md · GitHub

us-market-bubble-detector skillA

Name: us-market-bubble-detector
Author: tradermonty

us-market-bubble-detector is agent-read markdown (skill) from tradermonty/claude-trading-skills: Evaluates market bubble risk through quantitative data-driven analysis using the revised Minsky/Kindleberger framework v2.1. Prioritizes objective metrics (Put/Call, VIX, margin debt, breadth, IPO data) over subjective impressions. Features strict qualitative adjustment criteria with confirmation bias prevention. Supports practical investment decisions with mandatory data collection and mechanical scoring. Use when user asks about bubble risk, valuation concerns, or profit-taking timing..

Indexed from public GitHub and served as immutable, content-addressed versions. Install it pinned to an exact SHA-256 with the mdr CLI, and every file is verified against the hash recorded here before it reaches your agent. The deterministic audit below grades the latest version, and the same file always earns the same grade.

What the file says

# US Market Bubble Detection Skill (Revised v2.1)

## Key Revisions in v2.1

**Critical Changes from v2.0:**
1. ✅ **Mandatory Quantitative Data Collection** - Use measured values, not impressions or speculation
2. ✅ **Clear Threshold Settings** - Specific numerical criteria for each indicator
3. ✅ **Two-Phase Evaluation Process** - Quantitative evaluation → Qualitative adjustment (strict order)
4. ✅ **Stricter Qualitative Criteria** - Max +3 points (reduced from +5), requires measurable evidence
5. ✅ **Confirmation Bias Prevention** - Explicit checklist to avoid over-scoring
6. ✅ **Granular Risk Phases** - Added "Elevated Risk" phase (8-9 points) for nuanced risk management

---

## When to Use This Skill

Use this skill when:

**English:**
- User asks "Is the market in a bubble?" or "Are we in a bubble?"
- User seeks advice on profit-taking, new entry timing, or short-selling decisions
- User reports social phenomena (non-investors entering, media frenzy, IPO flood)
- User mentions narratives like "this time is different" or "revolutionary technology" becoming mainstream
- User consults about risk management for existing positions

**Japanese:**
- ユーザーが「今の相場はバブルか?」と尋ねる
…

Read the whole file at its exact version.

How to install

Latest version

mdr add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/us-market-bubble-detector@git:20260706.16e22fa

Exact content

mdr add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/us-market-bubble-detector@sha256:0c16de0524dc3da4

Pin to a label to follow the author's releases, or to a sha256 to freeze the exact bytes forever. Either way the resolved hash is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install reproduces it on any machine.

Badge

[![mdr](https://markdownregistry.com/badge/art_e3x4bbdtqneh7khp.svg)](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_e3x4bbdtqneh7khp)

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Versions

version	committed	commit	size	audit
git:20260706.16e22fa latest	2026-07-06	16e22fa	18,891 B	A	view · diff
git:20260104.f90e822	2026-01-04	f90e822	18,891 B	A	view

Audit of the latest version

A 17 of 17 checks passed. Deterministic, no model, same answer every run.

pass: Frontmatter block present
pass: Frontmatter declares a name
pass: Frontmatter declares a description
pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (18891 bytes)
pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
pass: No credential-shaped string
pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
pass: No text hidden with inline styles
pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
pass: No link to a raw IP address
pass: No script tag

Source

GitHub

tradermonty/claude-trading-skills · 2,885 stars · license MIT · pushed 2026-09-24 · branch main

API

GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_e3x4bbdtqneh7khp
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/us-market-bubble-detector
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/0c16de0524dc3da4f40dd6cae7a4c19a33aacbaeec6d217ea8ed1e5a4a0de95f

Your agent does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.

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