us-market-bubble-detector SKILL.md skillA

This file is byte-identical to the first copy the registry indexed, one of 5 indexed copies. Same content hash, so the same checks give both the same grade.

us-market-bubble-detector from nicepkg/ai-workflow is an agent skill: a SKILL.md folder an AI agent loads when a task calls for it.

Install it, pinned
mdr add nicepkg/ai-workflow/us-market-bubble-detector@git:20260118.be84779

Pins git:20260118.be84779 in mdr.lock. Pin the fingerprint instead.

Audit grade
A, 17 of 17 checks passed
Kind
SKILL.md skill
Repository
nicepkg/ai-workflow
Path
workflows/stock-trader-workflow/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector/SKILL.md
Versions recorded
1
Latest version
git:20260118.be84779, committed Jan 18, 2026
Size
18,891 bytes
Repository stars
288
License
MIT

Evaluates market bubble risk through quantitative data-driven analysis using the revised Minsky/Kindleberger framework v2.1. Prioritizes objective metrics (Put/Call, VIX, margin debt, breadth, IPO data) over subjective impressions. Features strict qualitative adjustment criteria with confirmation bias prevention. Supports practical investment decisions with mandatory data collection and mechanical scoring. Use when user asks about bubble risk, valuation concerns, or profit-taking timing.

Collected from public GitHub. Every version is saved exactly as it was and never changes. Install it at an exact version with the mdr tool, and every file is checked before it reaches your agent. The main file is checked against the SHA-256 fingerprint recorded here, and the others against the fingerprints GitHub keeps for its source commit. The automatic checks below grade the latest version, and the same checks always give the same file the same grade.

What the file says

# US Market Bubble Detection Skill (Revised v2.1)

## Key Revisions in v2.1

**Critical Changes from v2.0:**
1. ✅ **Mandatory Quantitative Data Collection** - Use measured values, not impressions or speculation
2. ✅ **Clear Threshold Settings** - Specific numerical criteria for each indicator
3. ✅ **Two-Phase Evaluation Process** - Quantitative evaluation → Qualitative adjustment (strict order)
4. ✅ **Stricter Qualitative Criteria** - Max +3 points (reduced from +5), requires measurable evidence
5. ✅ **Confirmation Bias Prevention** - Explicit checklist to avoid over-scoring
6. ✅ **Granular Risk Phases** - Added "Elevated Risk" phase (8-9 points) for nuanced risk management

---

## When to Use This Skill

Use this skill when:

**English:**
- User asks "Is the market in a bubble?" or "Are we in a bubble?"
- User seeks advice on profit-taking, new entry timing, or short-selling decisions
- User reports social phenomena (non-investors entering, media frenzy, IPO flood)
- User mentions narratives like "this time is different" or "revolutionary technology" becoming mainstream
- User consults about risk management for existing positions

**Japanese:**
- ユーザーが「今の相場はバブルか?」と尋ねる
…

Read the whole file at its exact version.

How to install

The exact contents, by fingerprint
mdr add nicepkg/ai-workflow/us-market-bubble-detector@sha256:920d37cf2afab5c9

The line at the top of this page pins the label git:20260118.be84779, which is what most people want. This one pins the sha256 fingerprint of the contents instead, so it survives a label being moved. Either way the exact version is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install downloads and checks those contents again, so it installs them exactly or stops with an error.

Badge

mdr badge

[![mdr](https://markdownregistry.com/badge/art_xqhticvlbltjzadl.svg)](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_xqhticvlbltjzadl)

2 badge image fetches in 30 days. What the badge shows.

Versions

The registry has recorded 1 version of this file, committed on Jan 18, 2026.

versioncommittedcommitsizeaudit
git:20260118.be84779 latest2026-01-18 be84779 18,891 BA view

Audit of the latest version

A  17 of 17 checks passed. Fixed automatic checks with no AI involved, so the same checks give the same answer every run.
  • pass: Frontmatter block present
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a name
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a description
  • pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (18891 bytes)
  • pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
  • pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
  • pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
  • pass: No credential-shaped string
  • pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
  • pass: No text hidden with inline styles
  • pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
  • pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
  • pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
  • pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
  • pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
  • pass: No link to a raw IP address
  • pass: No script tag

Source

GitHub

nicepkg/ai-workflow · 288 stars · license MIT · pushed 2026-01-20 · branch main

API

GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_xqhticvlbltjzadl
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=nicepkg/ai-workflow/us-market-bubble-detector
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/920d37cf2afab5c9ebf6d010288e5eedc828f5c3a378912e6915f9efcfadd648

Your AI assistant does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.

Guides: the SKILL.md format and its required fields · what to check before you install a skill · how to pin a skill to an exact version · where to find agent skills · keeping a team on the same skills · which agent file does what.

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