anofox-forecast-models SKILL.md skillA
anofox-forecast-models from datazoode/anofox-forecast is an agent skill: a SKILL.md folder an AI agent loads when a task calls for it.
mdr add datazoode/anofox-forecast/anofox-forecast-models@v2026.09.26Pins v2026.09.26 in mdr.lock. Pin the fingerprint instead.
- Audit grade
- A, 17 of 17 checks passed
- Kind
- SKILL.md skill
- Repository
- datazoode/anofox-forecast
- Path
plugins/anofox-forecast/skills/anofox-forecast-models/SKILL.md- Versions recorded
- 13
- Latest version
- v2026.09.26, committed Oct 28, 2026
- First version recorded
- Sep 18, 2026
- Size
- 38,582 bytes
- Repository stars
- 45
- License
- a license file GitHub does not identify
Forecasting models and the `ts_forecast_by` / `ts_forecast_var_by` API surface of the anofox_forecast DuckDB extension. Covers 36 models (baseline, exponential smoothing, state-space ARIMA + Kalman, classical GARCH, Theta, multi-seasonal, intermittent-demand, distributional Laplace with three variants, panel/global GlobalETS/GlobalTheta/GlobalCroston, and multivariate VAR via ts_forecast_var_by), plus exogenous-regressor forecasting via the crate's own exog support…
Collected from public GitHub. Every version is saved exactly as it was and never changes. Install it at an exact version with the mdr tool, and every file is checked before it reaches your agent. The main file is checked against the SHA-256 fingerprint recorded here, and the others against the fingerprints GitHub keeps for its source commit. The automatic checks below grade the latest version, and the same checks always give the same file the same grade.
What the file says
# Anofox Forecast — Models & `ts_forecast_by` Cheat Sheet **Extension:** `anofox_forecast` (Rust crate `anofox-forecast` v0.16.2) | **DuckDB:** v2.0.0 / v1.5.6 | **Dual naming:** `ts_*` and `anofox_fcst_ts_*` 36 forecasting models exposed by SQL via three call surfaces (table macro, aggregate, scalar) + `ts_forecast_var_by` for multivariate VAR. **`level` column (#280):** every forecast output with an interval ends with `level` (the interval coverage, `confidence_level`, default `0.9`; `NULL` without an interval), so two confidence levels stack into nested fans via `UNION ALL`. **Prediction intervals** (`yhat_lower`/`yhat_upper`) are each model's own crate-native interval (corrected formulas since anofox-forecast 0.16.0: Hyndman class-1/2/3 ETS variances, TBATS innovations state-space variance, GARCH centred on the conditional mean, etc.) — not a fabricated formula. **R `forecast` parity (FCST-09, Phase 17 plan 17-03):** of the ten core models, `Naive`/`SeasonalNaive`/`RandomWalkDrift`/`CrostonClassic`, `SESOptimized`/`ETS 'ANN'` (R `ses()`) and `Theta` are in full R parity; `Holt`/`ETS 'AAN'`, …
Read the whole file at its exact version.
How to install
mdr add datazoode/anofox-forecast/anofox-forecast-models@sha256:6f796640945b13ccThe line at the top of this page pins the label v2026.09.26, which is what most people want. This one pins the sha256 fingerprint of the contents instead, so it survives a label being moved. Either way the exact version is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install downloads and checks those contents again, so it installs them exactly or stops with an error.
[](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_fzhmbqgoxsuvqs3u)
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Versions
The registry has recorded 13 versions of this file, between Sep 18, 2026 and Oct 28, 2026, about one every 3 days.
| version | committed | commit | size | audit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| v2026.09.26 latest | 2026-10-28 | d8edfbf | 38,582 B | A | view · diff |
| v2026.09.26 | 2026-10-28 | 5324c1c | 38,417 B | A | view · diff |
| v2026.09.26 | 2026-10-28 | eeb26da | 38,020 B | A | view · diff |
| v2026.09.26 | 2026-10-28 | fc0a038 | 38,033 B | A | view · diff |
| v2026.09.26 | 2026-10-28 | fdff432 | 37,362 B | A | view · diff |
| v2026.09.26 | 2026-10-22 | 7f33142 | 36,876 B | A | view · diff |
| v2026.09.26 | 2026-10-15 | 2cbb500 | 36,868 B | A | view · diff |
| v2026.09.26 | 2026-10-15 | ac3d141 | 36,759 B | A | view · diff |
| v2026.09.26 | 2026-10-14 | c49016e | 36,022 B | A | view · diff |
| v2026.09.26 | 2026-10-10 | c1d06ac | 35,955 B | A | view · diff |
| v2026.09.26 | 2026-10-09 | d4e60b3 | 35,752 B | A | view · diff |
| v0.15.3 | 2026-09-18 | 7e23980 | 28,794 B | A | view · diff |
| v0.15.3 | 2026-09-18 | e2d0889 | 25,085 B | A | view |
Audit of the latest version
- pass: Frontmatter block present
- pass: Frontmatter declares a name
- pass: Frontmatter declares a description
- pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (38582 bytes)
- pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
- pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
- pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
- pass: No credential-shaped string
- pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
- pass: No text hidden with inline styles
- pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
- pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
- pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
- pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
- pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
- pass: No link to a raw IP address
- pass: No script tag
Source
datazoode/anofox-forecast · 45 stars · license a license file GitHub does not identify · pushed 2026-10-31 · branch main
API
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_fzhmbqgoxsuvqs3u GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=datazoode/anofox-forecast/anofox-forecast-models GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/6f796640945b13ccc508341657bfbfbf1bfbb359856f058229125bbc05a0c4cf
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