think-belief-update-routine SKILL.md skillA

think-belief-update-routine from product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills is an agent skill: a SKILL.md folder an AI agent loads when a task calls for it.

Install it, pinned
mdr add product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills/think-belief-update-routine@v0.1.0

Pins v0.1.0 in mdr.lock. Pin the fingerprint instead.

Audit grade
A, 17 of 17 checks passed
Kind
SKILL.md skill
Repository
product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills
Path
skills/think-belief-update-routine/SKILL.md
Versions recorded
2
Latest version
v0.1.0, committed Oct 21, 2026
First version recorded
Jun 3, 2026
Size
8,862 bytes
Repository stars
21
License
Apache-2.0

Produces a belief-update ledger that re-scores a standing inventory of open beliefs against newly arrived evidence on a cadence - each belief carrying a prior confidence, the evidence accrued since the last review, a revised confidence with an explicit delta and direction, a reason for the size of the move (a guard against under-updating), and a next-review trigger. Use when you hold consequential open beliefs, forecasts, or standing assumptions that should track new evidence over time and you…

Collected from public GitHub. Every version is saved exactly as it was and never changes. Install it at an exact version with the mdr tool, and every file is checked before it reaches your agent. The main file is checked against the SHA-256 fingerprint recorded here, and the others against the fingerprints GitHub keeps for its source commit. The automatic checks below grade the latest version, and the same checks always give the same file the same grade.

What the file says

<!-- thinking-framework-skills | https://github.com/product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills | Apache-2.0 -->
# Belief-Update Routine

A belief-update routine **re-scores a standing inventory of open beliefs against newly arrived evidence, on a cadence**. For each tracked belief it records a prior confidence, the evidence accrued since the last review, a revised confidence with an **explicit delta and direction**, a stated reason for the *size* of the move, and a next-review trigger. The load-bearing move is the disciplined, recurring **re-score of a portfolio over time**: it makes under-updating (the robust human tendency to revise too little for the evidence) visible and correctable, and it keeps beliefs that should track reality - open forecasts, strategic theses, standing assumptions - honest against new information rather than quietly stale. The output is a structured **belief-update ledger**, not prose, designed to be reopened and re-scored on the next cadence.

## When to Use
…

Read the whole file at its exact version.

How to install

The exact contents, by fingerprint
mdr add product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills/think-belief-update-routine@sha256:b2bc85d8137bbfe5

The line at the top of this page pins the label v0.1.0, which is what most people want. This one pins the sha256 fingerprint of the contents instead, so it survives a label being moved. Either way the exact version is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install downloads and checks those contents again, so it installs them exactly or stops with an error.

Badge

mdr badge

[![mdr](https://markdownregistry.com/badge/art_ndwj6y24nqvdafkx.svg)](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_ndwj6y24nqvdafkx)

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Versions

The registry has recorded 2 versions of this file, between Jun 3, 2026 and Oct 21, 2026, about one every 139 days.

versioncommittedcommitsizeaudit
v0.1.0 latest2026-10-21 394096f 8,862 BA view · diff
v0.1.02026-06-03 73a3bdb 8,323 BA view

Audit of the latest version

A  17 of 17 checks passed. Fixed automatic checks with no AI involved, so the same checks give the same answer every run.
  • pass: Frontmatter block present
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a name
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a description
  • pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (8862 bytes)
  • pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
  • pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
  • pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
  • pass: No credential-shaped string
  • pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
  • pass: No text hidden with inline styles
  • pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
  • pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
  • pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
  • pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
  • pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
  • pass: No link to a raw IP address
  • pass: No script tag

Source

GitHub

product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills · 21 stars · license Apache-2.0 · pushed 2026-10-21 · branch main

API

GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_ndwj6y24nqvdafkx
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills/think-belief-update-routine
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/b2bc85d8137bbfe56a59bd568a5421d0ec93669a9e198e800b4e57fea947fc9a

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