ml4t-deflated-sharpe SKILL.md skillA

ml4t-deflated-sharpe from ml4t/skills is an agent skill: a SKILL.md folder an AI agent loads when a task calls for it.

Install it, pinned
mdr add ml4t/skills/ml4t-deflated-sharpe@git:20260901.2c5ab85

Pins git:20260901.2c5ab85 in mdr.lock. Pin the fingerprint instead.

Audit grade
A, 17 of 17 checks passed
Kind
SKILL.md skill
Repository
ml4t/skills
Path
validation/deflated-sharpe/SKILL.md
Versions recorded
3
Latest version
git:20260901.2c5ab85, committed Sep 1, 2026
First version recorded
May 28, 2026
Size
4,619 bytes
Repository stars
41
License
Apache-2.0

Adjust the Sharpe ratio for multiple testing bias when selecting from many trials. Use when reporting strategy performance after parameter or model search.

Collected from public GitHub. Every version is saved exactly as it was and never changes. Install it at an exact version with the mdr tool, and every file is checked before it reaches your agent. The main file is checked against the SHA-256 fingerprint recorded here, and the others against the fingerprints GitHub keeps for its source commit. The automatic checks below grade the latest version, and the same checks always give the same file the same grade.

What the file says

# Deflated Sharpe Ratio

Reporting the best Sharpe ratio from N trials is misleading. The Deflated Sharpe Ratio corrects for the number of trials, non-normal returns, and sample size to test whether observed performance reflects genuine skill.

## The Problem

If you test 100 strategy variants and report the best Sharpe, you are performing selection bias. Under the null of zero skill, the expected maximum Sharpe across N trials grows with `sqrt(2 * log(N))`, measured in units of the spread of Sharpes across those trials: at 100 trials the best result is about 2.5 spreads above zero before any alpha exists. Without correction, most "discovered" strategies are artifacts that fail out of sample.

## The Pattern

### WRONG

```python
import numpy as np

# Test 50 parameter combos, report the best
sharpes = []
for params in param_grid:  # 50 configurations
    returns = run_backtest(params)
    sr = returns.mean() / returns.std() * np.sqrt(252)
    sharpes.append(sr)

best = max(sharpes)
print(f"Strategy Sharpe: {best:.2f}")  # Inflated by selection
```

### CORRECT

```python
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

def deflated_sharpe_ratio(observed_sr, n_trials, sr_std, n_obs,
…

Read the whole file at its exact version.

How to install

The exact contents, by fingerprint
mdr add ml4t/skills/ml4t-deflated-sharpe@sha256:0bdd5d2edd8821c3

The line at the top of this page pins the label git:20260901.2c5ab85, which is what most people want. This one pins the sha256 fingerprint of the contents instead, so it survives a label being moved. Either way the exact version is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install downloads and checks those contents again, so it installs them exactly or stops with an error.

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mdr badge

[![mdr](https://markdownregistry.com/badge/art_tokusjodzvo4vfc2.svg)](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_tokusjodzvo4vfc2)

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Versions

The registry has recorded 3 versions of this file, between May 28, 2026 and Sep 1, 2026, about one every 48 days.

versioncommittedcommitsizeaudit
git:20260901.2c5ab85 latest2026-09-01 2c5ab85 4,619 BA view · diff
git:20260901.c415df02026-09-01 c415df0 4,458 BA view · diff
git:20260528.303089e2026-05-28 303089e 4,374 BA view

Audit of the latest version

A  17 of 17 checks passed. Fixed automatic checks with no AI involved, so the same checks give the same answer every run.
  • pass: Frontmatter block present
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a name
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a description
  • pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (4619 bytes)
  • pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
  • pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
  • pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
  • pass: No credential-shaped string
  • pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
  • pass: No text hidden with inline styles
  • pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
  • pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
  • pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
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Source

GitHub

ml4t/skills · 41 stars · license Apache-2.0 · pushed 2026-11-08 · branch main

API

GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_tokusjodzvo4vfc2
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=ml4t/skills/ml4t-deflated-sharpe
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/0bdd5d2edd8821c37845a26c6dd14aa65e2abc277d3320be2d145d9ee4bd7adf

Your AI assistant does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.

Guides: the SKILL.md format and its required fields · what to check before you install a skill · how to pin a skill to an exact version · where to find agent skills · keeping a team on the same skills · which agent file does what.

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