forecasting SKILL.md skillA
forecasting from event4u-app/agent-config is an agent skill: a SKILL.md folder an AI agent loads when a task calls for it.
mdr add event4u-app/agent-config/forecasting@git:20260603.668ed88Pins git:20260603.668ed88 in mdr.lock. Pin the fingerprint instead.
- Audit grade
- A, 17 of 17 checks passed
- Kind
- SKILL.md skill
- Repository
- event4u-app/agent-config
- Path
src/skills/forecasting/SKILL.md- Versions recorded
- 1
- Latest version
- git:20260603.668ed88, committed Jun 3, 2026
- Size
- 8,626 bytes
- Repository stars
- 19
- License
- MIT
Use when constructing the finance-side forecast — top-down vs bottom-up shape, confidence bands, retro-loop. Triggers on 'build the forecast model', 'reconcile top-down with bottom-up'.
Collected from public GitHub. Every version is saved exactly as it was and never changes. Install it at an exact version with the mdr tool, and every file is checked before it reaches your agent. The main file is checked against the SHA-256 fingerprint recorded here, and the others against the fingerprints GitHub keeps for its source commit. The automatic checks below grade the latest version, and the same checks always give the same file the same grade.
What the file says
# forecasting ## When to use - The annual plan or quarterly board pack needs a forecast model that survives a retro — not last quarter's number with a multiplier. - Top-down (TAM × penetration × motion) and bottom-up (deal-level) calls have diverged and the reconciliation hasn't been written. - A new finance-partner inherits a forecast and needs to rebuild the construction shape without inheriting the prior regime's optimism. Do NOT use to qualify a single deal (route to `deal-qualification-meddic`), construct the RevOps commit list (route to `forecast-accuracy` (H10) — finance owns the shape, RevOps owns the call), or run capital-runway scenarios (route to `runway-cognition` (O3)). ## Cognition cluster - **Mental model 9 — Hypothesis-driven thinking.** Each forecast is a falsifiable claim about a window. If the call cannot be falsified inside the window, the call is a narrative, not a forecast. See [`mental-models.md`](../../../docs/contracts/mental-models.md) § 9. - **Mental model 29 — Premortem.** Before locking the call, write the post-window retro as if commit missed by 20 %. The premortem surfaces which construction inputs were riding on weak evidence; …
Read the whole file at its exact version.
How to install
mdr add event4u-app/agent-config/forecasting@sha256:ad7aaf77cfc1dc20The line at the top of this page pins the label git:20260603.668ed88, which is what most people want. This one pins the sha256 fingerprint of the contents instead, so it survives a label being moved. Either way the exact version is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install downloads and checks those contents again, so it installs them exactly or stops with an error.
[](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_wpslsm6rynkq53fo)
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Versions
The registry has recorded 1 version of this file, committed on Jun 3, 2026.
Audit of the latest version
- pass: Frontmatter block present
- pass: Frontmatter declares a name
- pass: Frontmatter declares a description
- pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (8626 bytes)
- pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
- pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
- pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
- pass: No credential-shaped string
- pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
- pass: No text hidden with inline styles
- pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
- pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
- pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
- pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
- pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
- pass: No link to a raw IP address
- pass: No script tag
Source
event4u-app/agent-config · 19 stars · license MIT · pushed 2026-11-05 · branch main
API
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_wpslsm6rynkq53fo GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=event4u-app/agent-config/forecasting GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/ad7aaf77cfc1dc205930c7971293bf0a9c2df8d67c4487a084a2974bc16eac2e
Your AI assistant does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.
Guides: the SKILL.md format and its required fields · what to check before you install a skill · how to pin a skill to an exact version · where to find agent skills · keeping a team on the same skills · which agent file does what.
More from event4u-app/agent-config
Every file in event4u-app/agent-config