judgment-training SKILL.md skillA

judgment-training from kangarooking/cangjie-skill is an agent skill: a SKILL.md folder an AI agent loads when a task calls for it.

Install it, pinned
mdr add kangarooking/cangjie-skill/judgment-training@git:20260830.4b922d7

Pins git:20260830.4b922d7 in mdr.lock. Pin the fingerprint instead.

Audit grade
A, 17 of 17 checks passed
Kind
SKILL.md skill
Repository
kangarooking/cangjie-skill
Path
books/naval-almanack-skill/judgment-training/SKILL.md
Versions recorded
1
Latest version
git:20260830.4b922d7, committed Aug 30, 2026
Size
5,571 bytes
Repository stars
11,534
License
MIT

当用户需要做方向性判断、评估「该往哪走/这事靠谱吗」、或想提升决策能力时调用。 核心理念: 判断力(知道行为长期后果)比努力重要; 清晰思考=从基础学科重建推理; 收集心智模型(复利/委托代理/可证伪性/基础数学)。 不适用于: 需要立即执行的具体任务步骤。 Triggers: 判断力/方向/第一性原理/心智模型/思维模型/判断靠不靠谱/judgment/mental model/first principles.

Collected from public GitHub. Every version is saved exactly as it was and never changes. Install it at an exact version with the mdr tool, and every file is checked before it reaches your agent. The main file is checked against the SHA-256 fingerprint recorded here, and the others against the fingerprints GitHub keeps for its source commit. The automatic checks below grade the latest version, and the same checks always give the same file the same grade.

What the file says

# 判断力训练

## R — 原文 (Reading)

> 努力工作的价值真的被高估了。在现代经济中,努力工作不是那么重要。那什么被低估了?判断力。……真正聪明的思考者是思维清晰的思考者。他们理解非常非常基本的基础知识。……如果你不能根据需要从基础知识重新推导出概念,你会迷惑不解。你只是熟记而已。
>
> — 纳瓦尔·拉维坎特, 《纳瓦尔宝典》 第一章·财富

## I — 方法论骨架 (Interpretation)

判断力=知道行为长期后果并据此决策的能力,它是杠杆时代最重要的生产力——
一个正确的决定可以赢过大量低效努力,而错误方向上的努力只会放大损失。
训练判断力有三个路径:
① **从基础重建**——真正理解=能从头推导;高级概念无法推导就只是熟记;最聪明的人能把事情向小孩讲明白;
② **打牢基础学科**——数学、微观经济学、可证伪性等是「严肃知识」,比背诵复杂概念更值钱;
③ **收集心智模型**——复利、委托代理、黑天鹅、进化论等模型库,遇到新问题先找合适的模型套用;
④ **留出思考空白**——每周至少一天不安排会议,伟大的想法只在你无聊之后出现。

## A1 — 书中的应用 (Past Application)

### 案例 1: 费曼三页纸讲数学
- **问题**: 如何判断一个人是否真的懂
- **方法论的使用**: 费曼从数字→计算→初级微积分,用不打破的逻辑链串起来,不靠定义
- **结论**: 能重建逻辑链才是真懂
- **结果**: 「如果你无法向小孩子讲明白,那么你并不是真的知道」

### 案例 2: 每周留白思考
- **问题**: 忙碌挤掉了思考时间
- **方法论的使用**: 每周留一两天不安排会议
- **结论**: 「只会在你感到无聊之后,才会有伟大的想法」
- **结果**: 判断力和好想法随之而来

## A2 — 触发场景 (Future Trigger) ★

### 用户会在什么情境下需要这个 skill?

1. 方向选择:「这件事该不该做/往哪走」
2. 评估言论:「这个专家的说法靠谱吗/是真懂还是包装」
3. 学习新领域:「怎么快速建立对陌生领域的判断力」
4. 决策前检查:「我的依据能不能从头推导」

### 语言信号

- "帮我判断一下/评估一下"
- "他怎么知道自己在说什么"
- "我想提升自己的判断力/思维模型"
- "how to think clearly / build judgment / is this credible"

### 与相邻 skill 的区分

- 与 `decision-heuristics` 的区别: 本 skill 是底层能力训练;决策启发式是即用规则
…

Read the whole file at its exact version.

How to install

The exact contents, by fingerprint
mdr add kangarooking/cangjie-skill/judgment-training@sha256:75e66dd728fc115c

The line at the top of this page pins the label git:20260830.4b922d7, which is what most people want. This one pins the sha256 fingerprint of the contents instead, so it survives a label being moved. Either way the exact version is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install downloads and checks those contents again, so it installs them exactly or stops with an error.

Badge

mdr badge

[![mdr](https://markdownregistry.com/badge/art_yb5ws6tlooab24y2.svg)](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_yb5ws6tlooab24y2)

2 badge image fetches in 30 days. What the badge shows.

Versions

The registry has recorded 1 version of this file, committed on Aug 30, 2026.

versioncommittedcommitsizeaudit
git:20260830.4b922d7 latest2026-08-30 4b922d7 5,571 BA view

Audit of the latest version

A  17 of 17 checks passed. Fixed automatic checks with no AI involved, so the same checks give the same answer every run.
  • pass: Frontmatter block present
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a name
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a description
  • pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (5571 bytes)
  • pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
  • pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
  • pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
  • pass: No credential-shaped string
  • pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
  • pass: No text hidden with inline styles
  • pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
  • pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
  • pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
  • pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
  • pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
  • pass: No link to a raw IP address
  • pass: No script tag

Source

GitHub

kangarooking/cangjie-skill · 11,534 stars · license MIT · pushed 2026-10-02 · branch main

API

GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_yb5ws6tlooab24y2
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=kangarooking/cangjie-skill/judgment-training
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/75e66dd728fc115c24747515d664999d4ab13a8c036727a115cd03ba644e6a4f

Your AI assistant does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.

Guides: the SKILL.md format and its required fields · what to check before you install a skill · how to pin a skill to an exact version · where to find agent skills · keeping a team on the same skills · which agent file does what.

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