think-consider-the-unknowns SKILL.md skillA

think-consider-the-unknowns from product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills is an agent skill: a SKILL.md folder an AI agent loads when a task calls for it.

Install it, pinned
mdr add product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills/think-consider-the-unknowns@v0.1.0

Pins v0.1.0 in mdr.lock. Pin the fingerprint instead.

Audit grade
A, 17 of 17 checks passed
Kind
SKILL.md skill
Repository
product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills
Path
skills/think-consider-the-unknowns/SKILL.md
Versions recorded
1
Latest version
v0.1.0, committed Jun 12, 2026
Size
10,178 bytes
Repository stars
25
License
Apache-2.0

Produces a known-unknowns ledger by enumerating the relevant evidence not in hand, the variables that bear on a judgment but are unknown or unobservable, rating each unknown by its bearing and its obtainability, then re-rating confidence against the mapped gap. Use when a consequential one-off judgment rests on thin or partial evidence, no usable base rate exists, and the confidence on the table may be inflated by what was never looked at. Not for cases with a real reference class, for…

Collected from public GitHub. Every version is saved exactly as it was and never changes. Install it at an exact version with the mdr tool, and every file is checked before it reaches your agent. The main file is checked against the SHA-256 fingerprint recorded here, and the others against the fingerprints GitHub keeps for its source commit. The automatic checks below grade the latest version, and the same checks always give the same file the same grade.

What the file says

<!-- thinking-framework-skills | https://github.com/product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills | Apache-2.0 -->
# Consider the Unknowns

Confidence tracks the strength and coherence of the evidence you actually considered, and people systematically neglect what is missing - the consumer-psychology literature calls this bias omission neglect. A judgment built on three observations feels as solid as one built on thirty if the three cohere. Every other belief-challenge move works on material that is PRESENT: claims made, assumptions held, counterarguments available, failures imaginable. Consider-the-unknowns works on material that is ABSENT. The durable move is to make the absence itself an object of attention - list the relevant variables you do NOT have, classify each as resolvable or genuinely unobservable, rate how much each would change the call, and then re-state your confidence against that mapped gap. The output is a **known-unknowns ledger**: the judgment, the relevant unknown variables with their bearing and obtainability, a flag on the ones worth resolving before committing, and a re-rated confidence with the delta and the reason its size is what it is.

## When to Use
…

Read the whole file at its exact version.

How to install

The exact contents, by fingerprint
mdr add product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills/think-consider-the-unknowns@sha256:1b39c4a7be797853

The line at the top of this page pins the label v0.1.0, which is what most people want. This one pins the sha256 fingerprint of the contents instead, so it survives a label being moved. Either way the exact version is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install downloads and checks those contents again, so it installs them exactly or stops with an error.

Badge

mdr badge

[![mdr](https://markdownregistry.com/badge/art_ofmigkszebjxzlcn.svg)](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_ofmigkszebjxzlcn)

4 badge image fetches in 30 days. What the badge shows.

Versions

The registry has recorded 1 version of this file, committed on Jun 12, 2026.

versioncommittedcommitsizeaudit
v0.1.0 latest2026-06-12 8975a77 10,178 BA view

Audit of the latest version

A  17 of 17 checks passed. Fixed automatic checks with no AI involved, so the same checks give the same answer every run.
  • pass: Frontmatter block present
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a name
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a description
  • pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (10178 bytes)
  • pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
  • pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
  • pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
  • pass: No credential-shaped string
  • pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
  • pass: No text hidden with inline styles
  • pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
  • pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
  • pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
  • pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
  • pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
  • pass: No link to a raw IP address
  • pass: No script tag

Source

GitHub

product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills · 25 stars · license Apache-2.0 · pushed 2026-11-07 · branch main

API

GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_ofmigkszebjxzlcn
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills/think-consider-the-unknowns
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/1b39c4a7be797853bf44a6d91af2ea7c18b5c8fc331a08f6f918f04c64875a5c

Your AI assistant does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.

Guides: the SKILL.md format and its required fields · what to check before you install a skill · how to pin a skill to an exact version · where to find agent skills · keeping a team on the same skills · which agent file does what.

More from product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills

AGENTS.md AGENTS.md file
product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills · AGENTS.md
git:20261107.3ccb474 · audit A · 25 stars
llms-full.txt@site/public llms.txt file
product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills · site/public/llms-full.txt
git:20261105.13a2fe7 · audit A · 25 stars
llms.txt@site/public llms.txt file
product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills · site/public/llms.txt
git:20261021.903ca21 · audit A · 25 stars
think-abstraction-laddering SKILL.md skill
product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills · skills/think-abstraction-laddering/SKILL.md · Builds an abstraction ladder that moves a problem up ("why / to what end?") and down ("how / what specifically?") to…
v0.1.0 · audit A · 25 stars
think-affinity-mapping SKILL.md skill
product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills · skills/think-affinity-mapping/SKILL.md · Produces a clustered theme map that groups many raw notes, observations, quotes, or data points bottom-up into a small…
v0.1.0 · audit A · 25 stars
think-after-action-review SKILL.md skill
product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills · skills/think-after-action-review/SKILL.md · Produces a structured after-action review by comparing what was expected against what actually happened, diagnosing why…
v0.1.0 · audit A · 25 stars
think-analysis-of-competing-hypotheses SKILL.md skill
product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills · skills/think-analysis-of-competing-hypotheses/SKILL.md · Handles a by-name request for ACH (Analysis of Competing Hypotheses), the evidence-by-hypothesis disconfirmation…
v0.1.0 · audit A · 25 stars
think-argument-mapping SKILL.md skill
product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills · skills/think-argument-mapping/SKILL.md · Produces an argument map by laying out a claim's supporting reasons, the co-premises each silently depends on, and the…
v0.1.0 · audit A · 25 stars
think-assumption-reversal SKILL.md skill
product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills · skills/think-assumption-reversal/SKILL.md · Generates non-obvious ideas by surfacing the foundational assumptions a problem or solution rests on, negating each…
v0.1.0 · audit A · 25 stars
think-authentic-dissent SKILL.md skill
product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills · skills/think-authentic-dissent/SKILL.md · Checks whether a decision has genuine minority dissent or only smooth surface consensus, identifies who actually holds…
v0.1.0 · audit A · 25 stars
think-backcasting SKILL.md skill
product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills · skills/think-backcasting/SKILL.md · Produces a backcast path by fixing a vivid desired future state and reasoning backward through the milestones and…
v0.1.0 · audit A · 25 stars
think-belief-update-routine SKILL.md skill
product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills · skills/think-belief-update-routine/SKILL.md · Produces a belief-update ledger that re-scores a standing inventory of open beliefs against newly arrived evidence on a…
v0.1.0 · audit A · 25 stars

Every file in product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills

Browse by kind, by grade A, or by owner.