think-scenario-planning SKILL.md skillA

think-scenario-planning from product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills is an agent skill: a SKILL.md folder an AI agent loads when a task calls for it.

Install it, pinned
mdr add product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills/think-scenario-planning@v0.1.0

Pins v0.1.0 in mdr.lock. Pin the fingerprint instead.

Audit grade
A, 17 of 17 checks passed
Kind
SKILL.md skill
Repository
product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills
Path
skills/think-scenario-planning/SKILL.md
Versions recorded
2
Latest version
v0.1.0, committed Oct 21, 2026
First version recorded
Jun 9, 2026
Size
10,291 bytes
Repository stars
25
License
Apache-2.0

Produces a scenario set, 2-4 contrasting and internally consistent short narratives of alternative external futures named by two critical-uncertainty axes, plus a robustness read of the strategy across the worlds (which moves survive every world, which early signals show which world is arriving, which options to keep open). Use when the planning horizon is long and the decisive forces are outside control and not reliably predictable, and a single implicit forecast is driving the strategy. Not…

Collected from public GitHub. Every version is saved exactly as it was and never changes. Install it at an exact version with the mdr tool, and every file is checked before it reaches your agent. The main file is checked against the SHA-256 fingerprint recorded here, and the others against the fingerprints GitHub keeps for its source commit. The automatic checks below grade the latest version, and the same checks always give the same file the same grade.

What the file says

<!-- thinking-framework-skills | https://github.com/product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills | Apache-2.0 -->
# Scenario Planning (2x2)

Most strategy quietly rests on a single implicit forecast of the future, and then optimizes for that one future. Scenario planning refuses that bet. It constructs a small SET of alternative states of the external world the planner does not control - regulation, technology adoption, demand, geopolitics - organized by the two axes of uncertainty that most change the strategic choice, and then judges the strategy against the whole set instead of against any one prediction. The durable move is not drawing the grid. It is holding several divergent futures in parallel and asking which moves survive all of them. The output is a **scenario set**: 2-4 contrasting, internally consistent short narratives of alternative external futures, plus a robustness read of the strategy across them. It is explicitly not a prediction and not a single preferred path. The dominant packaging is the 2x2, because two high-impact and high-uncertainty axes cross into four contrasting worlds - enough variety to break single-future thinking without overwhelming a group.
…

Read the whole file at its exact version.

How to install

The exact contents, by fingerprint
mdr add product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills/think-scenario-planning@sha256:bc709ccc9b99a082

The line at the top of this page pins the label v0.1.0, which is what most people want. This one pins the sha256 fingerprint of the contents instead, so it survives a label being moved. Either way the exact version is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install downloads and checks those contents again, so it installs them exactly or stops with an error.

Badge

mdr badge

[![mdr](https://markdownregistry.com/badge/art_wxrwxp7vdxfuqtmb.svg)](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_wxrwxp7vdxfuqtmb)

3 badge image fetches in 30 days. What the badge shows.

Versions

The registry has recorded 2 versions of this file, between Jun 9, 2026 and Oct 21, 2026, about one every 133 days.

versioncommittedcommitsizeaudit
v0.1.0 latest2026-10-21 650c43e 10,291 BA view · diff
v0.1.02026-06-09 12f4613 9,700 BA view

Audit of the latest version

A  17 of 17 checks passed. Fixed automatic checks with no AI involved, so the same checks give the same answer every run.
  • pass: Frontmatter block present
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a name
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a description
  • pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (10291 bytes)
  • pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
  • pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
  • pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
  • pass: No credential-shaped string
  • pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
  • pass: No text hidden with inline styles
  • pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
  • pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
  • pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
  • pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
  • pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
  • pass: No link to a raw IP address
  • pass: No script tag

Source

GitHub

product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills · 25 stars · license Apache-2.0 · pushed 2026-11-07 · branch main

API

GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_wxrwxp7vdxfuqtmb
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills/think-scenario-planning
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/bc709ccc9b99a082b9e05bb4f47865b053bb3678948595278b02f1f091eb3048

Your AI assistant does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.

Guides: the SKILL.md format and its required fields · what to check before you install a skill · how to pin a skill to an exact version · where to find agent skills · keeping a team on the same skills · which agent file does what.

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