hypothesis-generation SKILL.md skillA

hypothesis-generation from apatheticmioz/castor is an agent skill: a SKILL.md folder an AI agent loads when a task calls for it.

Install it, pinned
mdr add apatheticmioz/castor/hypothesis-generation@git:20261026.587ad32

Pins git:20261026.587ad32 in mdr.lock. Pin the fingerprint instead.

Audit grade
A, 17 of 17 checks passed
Kind
SKILL.md skill
Repository
apatheticmioz/castor
Path
skills/hypothesis-generation/SKILL.md
Versions recorded
2
Latest version
git:20261026.587ad32, committed Oct 26, 2026
First version recorded
Oct 3, 2026
Size
2,381 bytes
Repository stars
12
License
AGPL-3.0

Structured root-cause and optimization hypothesis generation — gather evidence, state ranked falsifiable single-variable hypotheses, and discriminate with the minimal measurement.

Collected from public GitHub. Every version is saved exactly as it was and never changes. Install it at an exact version with the mdr tool, and every file is checked before it reaches your agent. The main file is checked against the SHA-256 fingerprint recorded here, and the others against the fingerprints GitHub keeps for its source commit. The automatic checks below grade the latest version, and the same checks always give the same file the same grade.

What the file says

# Hypothesis Generation

Every code change you make to fix a bug or improve a metric is a
*falsifiable hypothesis*, not a guess. A hypothesis you cannot measure
is not a hypothesis — do not propose it.

## Checklist

1. **Evidence Gathering** — Before writing a hypothesis, inspect:
   - Failure traces and build output (condense with the
     `traceback-condensing` skill first — never reason over raw
     multi-page logs).
   - Code structure around the failing frame: `ast_search` and
     `search_code` for the symbols and call sites; `read_file` for the
     exact region.
   - Recent history: `git_log` (what changed) and `git_diff` (how it
     changed) for the relevant paths.
2. **Ranked Falsifiable Hypotheses** — Formulate **1–3**
   single-variable hypotheses, in decreasing order of probability.
   Each hypothesis must state all three of:
   - **(a)** the **exact code coordinate** (`file:line`) where the
     mechanism lives;
   - **(b)** the **predicted mechanism** — one sentence: "Changing X
     will cause Y because <mechanism>";
   - **(c)** the **minimal reproduction or measurement command**
     (`python_repl` for arithmetic/data checks, `bash` for
…

Read the whole file at its exact version.

How to install

The exact contents, by fingerprint
mdr add apatheticmioz/castor/hypothesis-generation@sha256:f0a6205665cf54be

The line at the top of this page pins the label git:20261026.587ad32, which is what most people want. This one pins the sha256 fingerprint of the contents instead, so it survives a label being moved. Either way the exact version is written to mdr.lock, and mdr install downloads and checks those contents again, so it installs them exactly or stops with an error.

Badge

mdr badge

[![mdr](https://markdownregistry.com/badge/art_zvdbfnokltqpmygx.svg)](https://markdownregistry.com/a/art_zvdbfnokltqpmygx)

2 badge image fetches in 30 days. What the badge shows.

Versions

The registry has recorded 2 versions of this file, between Oct 3, 2026 and Oct 26, 2026, about one every 23 days.

versioncommittedcommitsizeaudit
git:20261026.587ad32 latest2026-10-26 587ad32 2,381 BA view · diff
git:20261003.980fb6a2026-10-03 980fb6a 1,232 BA view

Audit of the latest version

A  17 of 17 checks passed. Fixed automatic checks with no AI involved, so the same checks give the same answer every run.
  • pass: Frontmatter block present
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a name
  • pass: Frontmatter declares a description
  • pass: Size between 200 bytes and 200 KB (2381 bytes)
  • pass: No zero-width or bidi control characters
  • pass: No instruction hidden inside an HTML comment
  • pass: No link to an exfiltration or paste host
  • pass: No credential-shaped string
  • pass: No instruction to send local credentials anywhere
  • pass: No text hidden with inline styles
  • pass: No prompt-injection phrasing
  • pass: No curl or wget piped into a shell
  • pass: No recursive delete of root, home or parent
  • pass: No instruction to read or print local credentials
  • pass: No base64 blob over 200 characters
  • pass: No link to a raw IP address
  • pass: No script tag

Source

GitHub

apatheticmioz/castor · 12 stars · license AGPL-3.0 · pushed 2026-10-27 · branch main

API

GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/artifacts/art_zvdbfnokltqpmygx
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/resolve?ref=apatheticmioz/castor/hypothesis-generation
GET https://markdownregistry.com/api/v1/blob/f0a6205665cf54bea06e6fc8572dc4f2dd5b8d776fed671fa0d3c019a05905fc

Your AI assistant does the legwork. You hear about the deals worth your word. Hand yours the standing instructions at modelranch.com and it joins the network that reads files like this one.

Guides: the SKILL.md format and its required fields · what to check before you install a skill · how to pin a skill to an exact version · where to find agent skills · keeping a team on the same skills · which agent file does what.

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Every file in apatheticmioz/castor

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